Jurnal Rekayasa Sistem Industri
Vol. 9 No. 2 (2020): Jurnal Rekayasa Sistem Industri (Edisi Khusus COVID-19)

Analisis Pertambahan Pasien COVID-19 di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Rantai Markov

Kinley Aritonang (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Alfian Tan (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Cherish Ricardo (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Dedy Surjadi (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Hanky Fransiscus (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Loren Pratiwi (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Marihot Nainggolan (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Sugih Sudharma (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)
Yani Herawati (Universitas Katolik Parahyangan)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Jul 2020

Abstract

COVID-19 is a new disease that is affecting almost all of the world. Until now there has not been a single drug (vaccine) that can be used to cure it. Many attempts were made to prevent the spread of this disease but COVID-19 patients are increasing every day, although at the same time some are recovering. This study will calculate the probability of additional patients occurring over a long period of time, referred as a steady state state condition, using the Markov chain method. Nine states have been formed to represent the daily increase ranges of COVID-19 patients number. The calculation results show that the possibility of additional patient number between 1 to 91, 92 to 182, 182 to 272, 273 to 363, 364 to 454, 455 to 545, 546 to 636, 637 to 727, or greater than 728 people a day are 0.21197, 0.05644, 0.08408, 0.16337, 0.13999, 0.14512, 0.07189, 0.07695, and 0.05014, respectively.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrsi

Publisher

Subject

Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Data and Analytics Decision Analysis E-Business and E-Commerce Engineering Economy and Cost Analysis Human Factors Information Systems Intelligent Systems Manufacturing Systems Operations Research Production Planning and Control Project Management Quality Control and Management Reliability and ...