INFOKUM
Vol. 10 No. 4 (2022): October, computer, information and engineering

SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING IN FORECASTING TOOLS AND MEDICINE STOCKS

Revi Sesario (Politeknik Negeri Pontianak)
Tobias Duha (Universitas Nias Raya)
Agry Alfiah (Universitas Gunadarma)
Susatyo Adhi Pramono (Universitas Wijayakusuma Purwokerto)
Pandu Adi Cakranegara (Universitas Presiden)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Oct 2022

Abstract

Problems that arise when acquiring equipment and pharmaceuticals include procurement delays caused by waiting for genuine data from the storage area, as well as surplus stock of various types of drugs. This is due to the fact that administrative documents are still kept in the traditional manner. In this article, we provide forecasting tool and medicine stock based on the demand ratio in order to overcome stock delays and surplus stock. Because of the needs (in the month of forecasting carried out and the amount of data held), single exponential smoothing with alpha 0.1 is utilized. The prediction findings are also considered accurate because the forecasting smoothing computation with an average error value of MAD (21,4), MSE (710,4), and MAPE (7%) was assessed as very good.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

infokum

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

The INFOKUM a scientific journal of Decision support sistem , expert system and artificial inteligens which includes scholarly writings on pure research and applied research in the field of information systems and information technology as well as a review-general review of the development of the ...