Fidelity : Jurnal Teknik Elektro
Vol 4 No 2 (2022): Edisi Mei 2022

Bitcoin USD Closing Price (BTC-USD) Comparison Using Simple Moving Average And Radial Basis Function Neural Network Methods

Muchtar Ali Setyo Yudono (Nusa Putra University)
Aryo De Wibowo Muhammad Sidik (Nusa Putra University)
Ilman Himawan Kusumah (Nusa Putra University)
Anang Suryana (Nusa Putra University)
Anggy Pradiftha Junfithrana (Nusa Putra University)
Adi Nugraha (Nusa Putra University)
Marina Artiyasa (Nusa Putra University)
Edwinanto Edwinanto (Nusa Putra University)
Yufriana Imamulhak (Nusa Putra University)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2022

Abstract

Bitcoin is a decentralized electronic money that is not controlled nor insured by a central authority. Because it is still a young system, the price of Bitcoin is extremely unpredictable, making Bitcoin users and investors uneasy. A typical difficulty for investors and traders is predicting the future movement of the value of Bitcoin electronic money based on historical data. Because investors and traders only notice swings in global currency prices and make Bitcoin buy/sell decisions instinctively, they frequently make the erroneous buy/sell decisions. Many investors and traders suffered significant losses as a result of this error. Losses can be reduced by employing an algorithm that predicts the movement of the value of Bitcoin electronic money. Using a comparison of two methodologies, the Simple Moving Average and RBFNN, we will anticipate the closing price of Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) from January 1, 2021 to January 31, 2021. The results obtained using the simple moving average method MSE = 0.01 percent and MAPE = 36.67 percent, and the results obtained using the RBFNN method MSE = 9.97 x 10-7 and MAPE = 9.97 x 10-5, indicating that the RBFNN method with an accuracy rate of 99.9995 percent is better than the simple moving average method in forecasting the closing price of bitcoin.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

fidelity

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Focus Fidelity : Jurnal Teknik Elektro merupakan media publikasi penelitian di bidang Teknik Elektro khususnya dalam ruang lingkup Instrumentasi, kendali, pengolahan sinyal, telekomunikasi, komputer dan listrik tenaga. Naskah atau makalah yang diterbitkan telah melalui kajian dari para mitra bestari ...