Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech)
Vol 3 No 3 (2022): Jurnal Computer Science and Information Technology (CoSciTech)

Peramalan Kedatangan Wisatawan ke Suatu Negara Menggunakan Metode Support Vector Machine (SVM)

Harun Mukhtar (Unknown)
Rahmad Gunawan (Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau)
Amin Hariyanto (Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau)
Syahril (Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau)
Wide Mulyana (Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Dec 2022

Abstract

Tourism is one of the most promising ecosystems for economic sectors worldwide. A strong tourism sector directly contributes to the country's national income, fights unemployment, and improves the balance of payments. Tourism development can be seen from the increase in arrivals to a nation; based on data obtained from the UNWTO from 1995-2019, it has increased and decreased. The sudden increase and decrease in tourists will have positive and negative impacts. Forecasting is an activity to predict events that will occur in the future by taking data from the past. So this study will expect tourist arrivals to a country using the Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. SVM has properties about maximizing margins and kernel tricks to map nonlinear data. The results obtained in this study indicate that SVM Confidence is 86.3%, has a MAPE value of 56.00%, and an RMSE worth of 11126.36 from the total data of 53 countries. And forecasting is carried out in 5 countries with the highest tourist visits. The results obtained are excellent: SVM Confidence of 99.13%, a MAPE value of 2.78%, and an RMSE value of 2783.57.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

coscitech

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal CoSciTech (Computer Science and Information Technology) merupakan jurnal peer-review yang diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Teknik Informatika, Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Univeritas Muhammadiyah Riau (UMRI) sejak April tahun 2020. Jurnal CoSciTech terdaftar pada PDII LIPI dengan Nomor ISSN ...