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INDONESIA
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications
ISSN : 25990802     EISSN : 25990802     DOI : -
Core Subject : Science, Education,
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications (eISSN:2599-0802): diterbitkan berkala 2 (dua) kali dalam setahun yang memuat tulisan ilmiah yang berhubungan dengan bidang statistika dan aplikasinya. Artikel yang dimuat berupa hasil penelitian bidang statistika dan aplikasinya dengan topik (tapi tidak terbatas): rancangan dan analisis percobaan, metodologi survey dan analisis, riset operasi, data mining, pemodelan statistika, komputasi statistika, time series dan ekonometrika, serta pendidikan statistika.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 5 Documents
Search results for , issue "Vol 1 No 1 (2017)" : 5 Documents clear
PENERAPAN ANALISIS REGRESI SPLINE UNTUK MENDUGA HARGA CABAI DI JAKARTA Hestiani Wulandari; Anang Kurnia; Bambang Sumantri; Dian Kusumaningrum; Budi Waryanto
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Departemen Statistika, IPB University dengan Forum Perguruan Tinggi Statistika (FORSTAT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.47

Abstract

The chili is an important commodity in Indonesia, which has a fairly large price fluctuations. Fluctuations in prices often raises the risk of loss even have contributed to inflation. Chili price data is time series data that is not independent between observations (autocorrelation) and do not spread to normal. In addition, chili price data does not have the diversity of homogeneous data. One method that can be used to predict the pattern of the data is spline regression. The data used in this study is data the average weekly price of chili in Jakarta from January, 2010 to October, 2015. The best spline model is a second order spline models with three knots. The model has a value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 9.57% and determination coefficient of 86.41%. The model obtained in this research is already well in predicting the pattern of the chili price, but it was only able to predict well for a period of one month. Prediction chili prices in Jakarta for November are in the range of Rp 35.565. Keywords: chili price, regression, spline.
AN APPLICATION OF GENETIC ALGORITHM FOR CLUSTERING OBSERVATIONS WITH INCOMPLETE DATA Frisca Rizki Ananda; Asep Saefuddin; Bagus Sartono
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Departemen Statistika, IPB University dengan Forum Perguruan Tinggi Statistika (FORSTAT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.48

Abstract

Cluster analysis is a method to classify observations into several clusters. A common strategy for clustering the observations uses distance as a similarity index. However distance approach cannot be applied when data is not complete. Genetic Algorithm is applied by involving variance (GACV) in order to solve this problem. This study employed GACV on Iris data that was introduced by Sir Ronald Fisher. Clustering the incomplete data was implemented on data which was produced by deleting some values of Iris data. The algorithm was developed under R 3.0.2 software and got satisfying result for clustering complete data with 95.99% sensitivity and 98% consistency. GACV could be applied to cluster observations with missing value without filling in the missing value or excluding these observations. Performance on clustering incomplete observations is also satisfying but tends to decrease as the proportion of incomplete values increases. The proportion of incomplete values should be less than or equal to 40% to get sensitivity and consistency not less than 90. Keywords: Cluster Analysis, Genetic Algorithm, Incomplete Data.
EVALUASI KEPUASAN PENGGUNA JASA LABORATORIUM KIMIA PT KRAKATAU STEEL (PERSERO) TBK TAHUN 2012-2013 Hilda Zaikarina; . Erfiani; I Made Sumertajaya
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Departemen Statistika, IPB University dengan Forum Perguruan Tinggi Statistika (FORSTAT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.50

Abstract

One of the services contained in PT Krakatau Steel (Persero) Tbk is the chemical composition analysis services in the chemistry lab. Management system that will create a well-managed laboratoryperformance is optimal. Manage standard chemistry laboratory is SNI ISO/IEC 17025. Discussed in this standard laboratory management such as through customer feedback. Laboratory customers selected through stratified random sampling with customer categories as strata, like suppliers, derived from plant and internal processes are not routine. In the research lab result that the customer will be satisfied, including services rendered for Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) is greater than 70% with the overall characteristics of the respondents subscription in the laboratory was 11.6 years. Overall the indicators included in the priority importance performance analysis (IPA) and has a value kesenjangan beyond the maximum tolerance through kesenjangan analysis approach is the completeness of laboratory equipment (F) and speed of service (K). Keywords : customer satisfaction index (CSI), gap analysis, importance performance analysis (IPA)
IDENTIFIKASI KARAKTERISTIK ANAK PUTUS SEKOLAH DI JAWA BARAT DENGAN REGRESI LOGISTIK Tina Aris Perhati; . Indahwati; Budi Susetyo
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Departemen Statistika, IPB University dengan Forum Perguruan Tinggi Statistika (FORSTAT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.51

Abstract

School dropouts are the problem in education which is the condition of children who do not have the opportunity to complete their education that they couldnt obtain degree certificate due to certain factors. Based on SUSENAS 2013, there is 2.15% of children aged 7-15 years old in West Java who dropped out of school. Three aspects that have great potential on the incidence of school dropouts are characteristic of social, economy, and demography. This study uses logistic regression analysis to determine the effect of school dropouts by the three aspects. The results of logistic regression analysis at 5% significance level indicates that the characteristics of social, economy, and demography that have significant effect on the incidence of school dropouts are the low education of household head, more than four household members, less than the poverty line household expenditure per capita, residence location in urban areas, and boys. The resulting model is sufficientfor estimation with the sensitivity value of 70.20% and the area under the ROC curve of 76.42%. Keywords: logistic regression, ROC curve, school children, sensitivity.
PENDUGAAN PARAMETER FUNGSI COBB-DOUGLAS GALAT ADITIF DENGAN ALGORITME GENETIKA Iqbal Hanif; Agus M Soleh; Aam Alamudi
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Departemen Statistika, IPB University dengan Forum Perguruan Tinggi Statistika (FORSTAT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.54

Abstract

Cobb-Douglas function with additive errors is a function which can be used to analyse the relationship between production output and production factors. The method commonly used to estimate the parameter of that function is Nonlinear Least Square (NLS) and a common algorithm for this method is Gauss Newton iteration (NLS-GN). However, NLS-GN method has less-optimum results when analysing multicolinearity data. A possibly better method for this analysis is Genetic Algorithm (NLS-GA). The purpose of this study is to analyse the use of Genetic Algorithm to estimate parameters of Cobb-Douglas function with additive errors. The results show that NLS-GA method could not produce a better parameter estimator than NLS-GN method does but it produced a better parameter estimator in analysing multicolinearity data. NLS-GA method is capable of producing a better model with predictive ability than NLS-GN method does with real data. Keywords: cobb-douglas function, genetic algorithm, nonlinear least square

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