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Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
ISSN : 20863128     EISSN : 2502180x     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
The Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM) is a peer-reviewed journal which provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to emerging market economies. Published every April and October, this journal welcomes original research papers on all aspects of economic development issues. The journal is fully open access for scholarly readers.
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Articles 10 Documents
Search results for , issue "Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022" : 10 Documents clear
The impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators: Evidence from four ASEAN countries Adawiya Taufani; Dedi Budiman Hakim; Widyastutik Widyastutik
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art10

Abstract

Purpose ― This study examines the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators, namely real GDP, real exchange rates, inflation, real interest rates, the balance of payments, and unemployment rates in four ASEAN countries, namely Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. Methods ― This research uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The oil price variable in this study was divided into two, namely, the increase and decrease in oil prices based on the Mork transformation. Findings ― The analysis showed that the impact of price increases tended to encourage the economy of Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia. The shock of falling oil prices tended to cause a decline in the economy of Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia. The shock of rising prices tended to hamper the economies of Indonesia and Thailand. The shock of falling oil prices did not always positively impact the economy of the importing country, especially for the balance of payments. Implication ― These results show that price shocks will produce different economic responses. Understanding a country's macroeconomic framework is important before implementing effective policies. Originality ― These results expand the literature on the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators in developing countries and small open economies, while studies related to macroeconomics generally focus on growth and inflation. This study also distinguishes oil price shocks into rising and falling oil price shocks using the Mork transformation.
Competition and banks' financial performance in dual banking: Evidence from efficiency-adjusted market power Mudeer Ahmed Khattak; Mohsin Ali; Noureen A. Khan
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art8

Abstract

Purpose ― This paper examines banking competition's effect on Malaysia's financial performance from 2008–2020. This study investigates the relationship between banks' market competition and financial performance by examining banks' profits and risks. Further, this current study examines whether the association differs for Islamic banks. Methods ― The research studies Malaysia as a sample country and employs a data span from 2008-2020. In order to address omitted variable bias, simultaneity and endogeneity are avoided using a two-step GMM model. Findings ― Our results recommend that more competition inspires the banking sector to invest in risky ventures to offset the losses in revenues. Moreover, banking today is still based on basic banking operations like granting loans (or financing in Islamic banks), collecting deposits, and managing payment systems. Implication ― Since our findings show a negative effect of competition on the bank's financial performance, we suggest that competition lowers banks' profits and results in greater risk. It is suggested that regulators and policymakers develop the financial infrastructure in terms of controlled competition in banking and encourage banks to diversify their operations efficiently. We find no significant difference in the association between conventional and Islamic banking. Originality ― This research is the first to examine the effect of bank competition on the financial performance of a developed dual banking system using the efficiency-adjusted Lerner index.
Structural breaks, financial globalization, and financial development: Evidence from Turkey Pinar Avci; Murat Cetin
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art5

Abstract

Purpose ― Mishkin’s hypothesis suggests that globalization appears to be a vital factor in stimulating the development of the financial system. The study examines this hypothesis for the Turkish economy from 1970 to 2017. It focuses on the link between financial globalization and financial development by integrating economic growth, inflation, and natural resource rent as additional determinants into the financial development specification. Methods ― The Ng-Perron and Vogelsang-Perron unit root tests are used to check the stationarity of variables. The cointegration analysis is performed using the Hatemi-J and ARDL bounds testing procedures. Findings ― The main empirical results show that the series are cointegrated under structural breaks; in the long run, financial globalization and economic growth increase financial development while inflation and natural resource rent negatively affect financial development. A unidirectional causality exists from financial globalization and economic growth to financial development. At the same time, there is bidirectional causality between inflation and financial development, natural resource rent, and financial development. Implications ― The empirical findings can present important recommendations for policymakers. Originality ― Very few time-series studies include Turkey’s economy and structural breaks.
Unemployment, total factor productivity, budget deficit, and wage share in South Africa Juniours Marire
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art4

Abstract

Purpose ― The paper investigated the effect of the interaction of fiscal deficits and total factor productivity (TFP) and fiscal deficits and the wage share on unemployment. Methods ― The paper applied an autoregressive distributed lag model to South African annual data from 1991-2019. Findings ― First, increases in fiscal deficits increase unemployment at all levels of TFP and wage share. Second, increases in TFP increase unemployment at different levels of fiscal deficit, but after the global economic recession, the rate of increase in unemployment declined significantly. This means that the interaction of rising TFP and fiscal deficits in South Africa, where the growth regime is profit-led and technology-driven, always results in increasing unemployment. Third, as the wage share increases, unemployment increases, at all levels of fiscal deficits, suggesting that a wage-led growth regime is no panacea to unemployment either. Implications ― The findings imply that expansionary fiscal policy does not necessarily create an economy that works for all unless active labour market institutions are set up. The findings challenge the notion that the solution to unemployment in South Africa is wage flexibility. Neither do the findings support the idea that following a profit-led growth path is a solution. A balanced mix of the two growth regimes would work. Originality ― Studies have considered the productivity-enhancing effects of structural fiscal policy, but they have not considered the possible effects of interactions between productivity, fiscal policy and wage shares. The paper addresses the gap by introducing the interactions of TFP and fiscal deficits, as well as the interaction of wage share and fiscal deficits.
Foreign direct investment and economic growth nexus in ECOWAS: The leveraging effect of anti-corruption Grace Nkansa Asante; Kofi Kamasa; Myles Patrick Bartlett
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art3

Abstract

Purpose ― This paper sought to investigate the interactive effect of corruption and FDI on economic growth in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region empirically. Methods ― With panel data spanning 2000–2019 across 15 ECOWAS countries, this paper estimates its results by employing the system-GMM estimator, which combines a system of regressions in difference and in levels to resolve the problem of endogeneity. Findings ― Results reveal that while FDI independently spurs economic growth, control of corruption has no direct effect on growth in the region. The interactive effects reveal the complementarity between FDI and control of corruption in promoting economic growth in the ECOWAS region. The growth effect of FDI is larger and stronger given an improvement in the control of corruption across the 1st, 5th, 10th, and 25th percentiles. Implication ― To improve investor confidence, bolster FDI inflows and optimize its beneficial impacts on economic growth, this paper calls for measures to increase transparency and stronger political commitment to strictly investigate, prosecute and punish corruption in the ECOWAS region. Originality/value ― Although foreign direct investment (FDI) to host countries have been shown in the literature to be a crucial driver of economic growth, little is known about how anti-corruption measures affect the FDI-growth relationship. This paper contributes to policy by providing empirical evidence to bridge this gap.
Revisiting the threshold effect of corruption in the link between public debt and economic growth in Nigeria Eyitayo Oyewunmi Ogbaro; Ademola Obafemi Young; Rebecca Folake Bank-Ola
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art1

Abstract

Purpose ― This study contributes to the empirical literature on the nonlinear relationship between public debt and economic growth in Nigeria using threshold regression methodology. It provides insight into how Nigeria can grow out of debt sustainably in the face of the prevailing level of corruption as an institutional indicator. Method ― Stata's threshold command is used for data analysis, and this command fits time-series threshold models in finding the optimal number of thresholds. It does this by minimising an information criterion and using conditional least squares to estimate the parameters of the threshold regression model. Findings ― The results show that the relationship between public debt and economic growth is nonlinear. The threshold effect of public debt on growth depends on the debt-to-GDP ratio and the level of corruption. Substantial evidence supports two threshold levels of debt-to-GDP ratio and corruption in the debt-growth nexus. The two threshold levels of corruption are 63.21 and 64.27 (on a scale of 0 to 100), with the growth effect of public debt being positive and significant in the second regime only. Implication ― Public debt exerts significant positive effects on growth as long as corruption is kept at a moderate level. Thus, the government of Nigeria needs to ensure that corruption is pegged at a fairly moderate level that will guarantee the positive contribution of accumulated debt to economic growth. Originality ― Unlike previous works, the study addresses the problem caused by the mechanical effect of a change in the real GDP growth rate on debt. It is based on the assumption of a maximum of two thresholds.
The effects of foreign direct investment and trade openness on economic growth amid crises in Asian economies Rabiul Hossain; Chandan Kumar Roy; Rima Akter
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art7

Abstract

Purpose ― The main objective is to examine the effects of foreign direct investment and trade openness on economic growth (SDG-8.1) about economic growth amid crises in 30 Asian economies. Design/methodology/approach ― The effects of FDI and trade openness on economic growth in the Asian region are examined using the fixed-effects model, panel corrected standard errors (PCSE), and generalized method of moments (GMM) estimations. The study also measures the long-run effects of the estimates and the granger causality tests. Findings ― The findings revealed that both FDI and trade openness contribute to boosting economic growth in Asian economies, and the effect is also persistent in the long run. We also find that the Asian and global financial collapse shocks in 1997-1998 and 2008-2009, respectively, adversely affected the region's economic growth. Additionally, the economic growths of some Asian countries are below the targeted level set in SDG-8.1.  Practical implications ― The Asian countries should adopt appropriate policy measures for encouraging the inflow of FDI and cross-border trade of goods and services as it is evident that the inflow of FDI and open trade will improve local human capital and technological capabilities of the industries, which will ultimately help to enhance stable economic growth. Originality/value ― This study is unique in accompanying the Asian financial crisis and world recession in studying the effects of FDI and trade openness on SDG-8.1 in Asian economies. 
Foreign direct investment and economic complexity in emerging economies Tolulope T. Osinubi; Folorunsho M. Ajide
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art9

Abstract

Purpose ― In this study, we investigate the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic complexity in MINT and BRICS countries. Methodology ― Data on economic complexity from MIT’s Observatory of Economic Complexity and data on FDI and other determinants of economic complexity are sourced from World Development indicators which spanned between 1991 and 2020. The countries are divided into three categories: All countries pooled together, MINT and BRICS countries. We employ panel co-integrating regression. Findings ― Findings based on panel co-integration regression show that foreign direct investment positively impacts economic complexity in all the countries and MINT countries, while its impact is negative in BRICS countries. Originality ― This study adds value to the literature by scrutinizing the nexus between FDI and economic complexity in the context of emerging economies and employs the panel co-integration technique for robust analysis. The study's findings shed light on the need for governments in developing countries to implement appropriate policies encouraging FDI inflows into their respective countries. Contributing to the host country's economic complexity, FDI inflows should be focused on highly technical investment and, most importantly, should be selective to enhance the development of priority sectors. An investment promotion policy may be required to encourage foreign investment in the host country.
Revisiting the asymmetry between the exchange rate and domestic production in South Asian economies: Evidence from nonlinear ARDL approach Javed Iqbal; Misbah Nosheen; Mark Wohar
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art2

Abstract

Purpose ― The present study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes on the domestic production of selected South Asian economies from 1980-2019. Design/Method/Approach―The study introduces nonlinearity into the adjustment process by decomposing the exchange rate into depreciation and appreciation and relying on the Nonlinear ARDL approach to cointegration. Findings ― The findings show significant evidence of asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on domestic production in the case of South Asian economies. Surprisingly, depreciation promotes economic growth while appreciation impedes it in almost all economies. Practical Implications ― The findings refute the notion of symmetry, indicating that depreciation and appreciation have different effects on South Asian economies. An undervalued exchange rate may provide short-term economic relief. The study recommends that a market-based equilibrium exchange rate is crucial for these economies. Originality/Value ― By using a Nonlinear ARDL approach to separate exchange rate appreciation and depreciation, this study adds to the body of knowledge about the relationship between exchange rate and growth, particularly in South Asia.
Stock and exchange rate movements in the MENA countries: A Markov Switching –VAR Model Marwa Trabelsi; Slah Bahloul
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art6

Abstract

Purpose ― This article explores the causal link between stock and currency returns in The Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries from January 2011 through February 2020. Methods ― This study uses the Vector autoregressive (VAR) and the Markov switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) models to investigate the dynamic causality between equity and exchange rate markets. Findings ― Results indicate that this relation depends on the state of the markets. Furthermore, generally, equity returns have a significant impact on the currency markets, whatever the market state. Implication ― Regime shifts in the relationship between stock and exchange rate markets are significant for portfolio allocation because they help investors improve their investment decisions through knowledge of the dynamic link between these markets. Originality ― This study adds to the literature on the relationship between exchange rates and stock prices in the MENA countries, which have become attractive destinations for international investors due to their higher returns.

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