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All Journal JURNAL ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN KEHUTANAN ECSOFiM (Economic and Social of Fisheries and Marine Journal) Habitat JFMR (Journal of Fisheries and Marine Research) Jurnal Penelitian Sosial dan Ekonomi Kehutanan
Tiwi Nurjannati Utami
Universitas Brawijaya
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Economics, Econometrics & Finance Engineering Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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Journal : JURNAL ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN KEHUTANAN

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PERAMALAN KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN DAN DAYA DUKUNG BEE JAY BAKAU RESORT PROBOLINGGO Mochammad Fattah; Tiwi Nurjannati Utami; Dwi Sofiati
Jurnal Analisis Kebijakan Kehutanan Vol 17, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Analisis Kebijakan Kehutanan
Publisher : Centre for Research and Development on Social, Economy, Policy and Climate Change

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20886/jakk.2020.17.2.153-163

Abstract

City of Probolinggo offers nine main tourist attractions, such as Environmental Study Park (TWSL), Probolinggo Museum, Dr. Moh. Saleh Museum, Red Church, Tri Dharma Temple, Coastal Fishing Port, Bayuangga Swimming Pool, Olimpic Swimming Pool, and Bee Jay Bakau Resort (BJBR). One of the main destinations with ecotourism concept in Probolinggo city is BJBR. It is important to handle a research about forecasting the tourism visits and carrying capacity to support decision making in BJBR management. The purpose of this study is to analyze the forecasting of the foreign and domestic tourists visits at BJBR and analyze the carrying capacity. Quantitative methods using ARIMA and Winter are used in this study. This study also uses carrying capacity area analysis to analyze the carrying capacity of BJBR. The result shows that BJBR Probolinggo provides varied tourist attractions that affect the number of visits. The best forecasting is Winter method because the forecasting error is smaller than ARIMA method, which is, the average on visiting are 14,866tourist/month or 496 tourists/day. Meanwhile, the carrying capacity of the BJBR is 1,110 tourists/day. The management should consider tourist visit forecasting and the carrying capacity.
Co-Authors Amelia Hudayana Andriani Mifrahul Wahida Anindya Feri Anggraini Anthon Efani Candra Adi Intyas Dwi Sofiati Dwi Sofiati Edi - Susilo Harsuko Riniwati Iva Dwi Wulandari Kartika Intan Abdillah Mimit - Primyastanto Mochammad Fattah, Mochammad Nina Widyawati Novia Putri Anjani Pudji Purwanti Ridwan Galisong Risya Viantika Risya Viantika