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BIAS GENDER DALAM TINGKAT PENGEMBALIAN INVESTASI PENDIDIKAN DI SUMATERA BARAT Melty Roza Adry; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10975957.00

This study aims to estimate the rate of return of gender-based school in West Sumatra using Mincer earnings function. This study uses database KOR SUSENAS West Sumatra in 2012 for collecting data. The two-step Heckman model of ordinary least square (OLS) is used for data analysis. The findings of this study are as follows. First, return to schooling is higher for male than female, for both service and manufacturing industries. Second, years of schooling, years of schooling interaction with manufacturing industril, years of schooling interaction with in service industril, the squared years of schooling interaction with manufacturing industril, the squared years of schooling interaction with service industril, gender interaction with service industril, gender interaction with manufacturing industril and urban/rural location are significantly influence return to schooling. While, squared years of schooling is not significantly influence return to schooling. Keywords : Mincerian Earnings Function; Gender; Return on schooling, Two Step Heckman model.

FENOMENA DAN DETERMINAN KESEMPATAN ANAK MASUK DUNIA KERJA Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 2, No 1 (2013): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

In most countries including Indonesia, children are very valuable future human resources in development process; they are the future of a country. For these reasons all stakeholders have the equal obligation to promote opportunity for the children to get their basic needs for their better future. But, the reality is not always as good as it should be, for some reasons, there are many children still enter the labor market than being at school for their education. Using 2009 Susenas data with binary logistic regression model, this research find that parents education, parents marital status, parent jobs sector, economic sector activity, number of children in a household, share of food expenditure and geographic factor are the significant factors to determine the probability a child entering the labor market.

ANALISIS TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER MELALUI JALUR PINJAMAN BANK DI INDONESIA Violetta Puteri Dhuayu; Sri Ulfa Sentosa; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2017): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11064457.00

This study aims to determine and analyze the influence of interest rate and bank-specific to bank loans growth and also analyze the causality between interest rate, bank loas growth and economic growth with inflation rate in Indonesia. The type of this research is descriptive and associative. This research used secondary data from 2006 Q1 to 2015 Q4 obtained from the related institution which is analyzed by using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method and Vector Autoregerssion (VAR). The results show that interest rate (BI Rate) affect bank loans growth in Indonesia while, bank liquidity and bank capitalization positively affect bank loans growth in Indonesia. It also show that there are causality between interest rate and bank loans growth with inflation rate in Indonesia.

EXCHANGE MARKET PRESSURE PENDETEKSI KRISIS KEUANGAN DI INDONESIA Khairul Azhar; Hasdi Aimon; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 1 (2015): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10965057.00

This study aimed to analyze: (1) Probability of Real Effective Exchange Rate, Foreign Exchange Reserves, Export, Import, loan to deposit ratio, Return to the assets of the financial crisis in Indonesia. Using data from the years 1995 to 2014 times series. This research is using Early warning system using econometric approach, through the Exchange Market Pressure (EMP). These results indicate: (1) Real Exchange Rate Efecctive have significant opportunities to the financial crisis. (2) The foreign exchange reserves have significant opportunities to the financial crisis. (3) Exports have significant opportunities to the financial crisis. (4) imports did not have significant opportunities to financial krissi. (5) The loan to deposit ratio has a significant opportunity to the financial crisis. (6) Return to Asset does not have significant opportunities to the financial crisis. (7) Real Efecctive Exchange Rate, foreign exchange reserves, exports, imports, loan to deposit ratio and Return to Asset jointly chance against the financial crisis in Indonesia.Keyword : Exchange Market Pressure, Early Waring System crises

ANALISIS JAM KERJA ANAK DI SUMATERA BARAT Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 1 (2014): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Abstract : As in other countries, in Indonesia, children are considered very valuable both as themselves as well as human resources that will determine the future of the country. For various reasons, there are still quite a lot of children in Indonesia, especially in West Sumatra are leaving school and entering the labor market too early. This in turn will lead to low levels of school enrollment. The low level of school participation is allegedly linked to the issue of child labor hours. Long working hours for children will lose the impact of educational opportunities, learning time is reduced even none at all. Using data Susenas West Sumatra 2012 and logistic regression showed that employment status variable RT head, sector head of household work (agriculture), the working hours of children, as well as the status of child labor (workers family / unpaid) significant partial affect the chances of child labor to school. While variables such as gender, region, education level of the head of household, type of work RT, the proportion of food, as well as the age of the head of household is partially not affect the chance of working children aged 10-15 years to go to school Kata Kunci : logistic regression model, odds ratio, working children Abstrak : Seperti halnya di negara lain, di Indonesia anak-anak dianggap sangat berharga baik sebagai diri mereka sendiri maupun sebagai sumber daya manusia yang akan menentukan masa depan negara. Untuk berbagai alasan, masih cukup banyak anak-anak di Indonesia khususnya Sumatera Barat yang meninggalkan sekolah dan memasuki pasar tenaga kerja terlalu dini. Hal ini nantinya akan berakibat kepada rendahnya tingkat partisipasi sekolah. Rendahnya tingkat partipasi sekolah ini diduga terkait dengan isu jam kerja anak. Jam kerja yang panjang bagi anak akan memberi dampak kehilangan kesempatan memperoleh pendidikan, waktu belajar berkurang bahkan tidak ada sama sekali. Dengan menggunakan data Susenas Sumatera Barat tahun 2012 dan regresi logistik penelitian ini memberikan hasil bahwa variabel status pekerjaan kepala RT, sektor pekerjaan kepala rumah tangga (sektor pertanian), jam kerja anak, serta status pekerjaan anak (pekerja keluarga/tidak dibayar) secara parsial signifikan mempengaruhi peluang pekerja anak untuk bersekolah. Sedangkan variabel seperti jenis kelamin, wilayah, tingkat pendidikan kepala RT, jenis pekerjaan kepla RT, proporsi makanan, serta umur kepala RT secara parsial tidak berpengaruh terhadap peluang pekerja anak usia 10-15 tahun untuk masuk ke sekolah. Kata Kunci : regresi logistik, odds ratio, pekerja anak

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION RATE AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN INDONESIA, 1985-2008 Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2012): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation rate and unemployment. Tradeoff between inflation and unemployment rate showed a negative correlation between unemployment and wage inflation. Using the OLS method (1985-2008), the estimates indicate that the rate of inflation does not significantly influence the level of unemployment. It can be seen from a positive inflation coefficient value and not significant. Total labor force significantly affect unemployment rates. The unemployment rate last year significant effect on the unemployment rate today. Granger causality test shows that there is no causal relationship between unemployment and inflation.

ANALISIS MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA (MELALUI PENDEKATAN MONETER) Novri Candra; Idris Idris; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 4, No 2 (2015): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.10966157.00

This study aimed to analyze the change in foreign exchange reserves which are affected by the state of national income, exchange rates, interest rates and inflation. This study was conducted to see the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable in the long term and short term. The method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study shows that the long-term effects of the variables national income and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on foreign exchange reserves, while in the short term have a negative effect but not significant. Variable interest rates on long-term have a positive effect but not significant and in the short term have a significant negative effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variable inflation in the long term and short term no significant effect on the foreign exchange reserves. Results Error Correction Term (ECT) in this study amounted to 1,065, which means that in the short-term foreign exchange reserves will undergo considerable change and requires quite a long time to come back into balance.Keyword : Reserves, National Income, Exchange Rates, Interest Rates and Inflation ECM, ECT

PENGARUH VARIABEL MONETER DAN NON MONETER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA Thesya Yulianca; Sri Ulfa Sentosa; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2017): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11064357.00

This study aims to determine and analyze the influence between monetary variables consisting of foreign investment and inflation on economic growth, and the influence of non-monetary variables consisting of total labor force and economic growth. The type of this research is descriptive research, where the data used is the time series data from 1984 to 2015 obtained from the World Bank and Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) website, which is analyzed by Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study indicate that the monetary variables of foreign investment have a positive and significant impact on economic growth in Indonesia and inflation has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while the non-monetary variable is the total labor force has an insignificant and positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia and Government spending has a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia.

IMPLEMENTASI DOUBLE HURDLE MODEL TERHADAP PARTISIPASI EKONOMI PEREMPUAN MENIKAH DI SUMATERA BARAT Dewi Zaini Putri; Selli Nelonda
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 5, No 2 (2016): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11065057.00

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak faktor internal (umur danpendidikan istri) dan eksternal (status bekerja suami, hari kerja suami, jam kerja suami,status pekerjaan suami, lapangan usaha suami, punya anak balita, dan wilayah tempattinggal) yang mempengaruhi partisipasi ekonomi perempuan menikah di Sumatera Barat.Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data cross section yang dikumpulkandari data KOR SUSENAS tahun 2013. Metode penelitian ini menggunakan teknik analisismodel regresi double hurdle. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian diperoleh: (1)Pendidikan istri,hari kerja suami, jam kerja suami, lapangan usaha suami, status pekerjaan suami, jumlahbalita dalam rumah tangga, dan wilayah tempat tinggal berpengaruh signifikan terhadappartisipasi ekonomi perempuan menikah di Sumatera Barat. (2) Umur istri, umur2 istri,pendidikan istri, lapangan usaha suami, status pekerjaan suami, jumlah balita dalamrumah tangga, wilayah tempat tinggal dan upah suami berpengaruh signifikan terhadapalokasi waktu bekerja istri di Sumatera Barat. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian ini, langkahdalam mengambil kebijakan dalam pembangunan oleh pemerintah untuk meningkatkanpartisipasi ekonomi perempuan menikah yaitu dengan memberikan kesempatan yangseluas-luasnya bagi perempuan untuk meningkatkan pendidikannya dan adanyakesetaraan gender dalam kegiatan ekonomi. Hal ini bisa dilakukan oleh pemerintahdengan memberikan kesempatan yang sama antara laki-laki dan perempuan dalammenempuh dunia pendidikan.

Analisis Peran Leadership Style Pengusaha Wanita Dalam Meningkatkan Daya Hidup (Viability) Kluster UMKM Di Sumatera Barat Aimatul Yumna; Selli Nelonda
Economac: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2 No 1 (2018): Economac: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Ekonomi Volume 2 Nomor 1 Bulan April 2018.
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

This study aims to know and analyze how the role of leadership style, the influence of internal and external characteristics of female entrepreneurs in improving the endurance of SME clusters in West Sumatra. By using primary data and multiple regression model, there are several classification of business field dominating Micro Small Industry in West Sumatera, namely food industry, textile industry, apparel industry and craft industry and furniture industry. From the results of the study, the ability to survive (viability) of SMEs in West Sumatra is still small and will increase when UMKM participate in training and mentoring and led by women because it is considered more experienced even though low educated. The ability to survive which is represented by net profit margin will be bigger when SMEs expands the market out of province or abroad, while other variables are industry characteristic, entrepreneur characteristic and capital unrelated to the improvement of survival ability of SMEs.

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