Muhammad Ridho Alcaesar
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Evaluation of Project Implementation Time Based on Optimistic, Pessimistic, and Most Likely Time Using the Monte Carlo Method (Project Case Study: Sentul Road Rehabilitation - Bendung Terrace - Tirtayasa, Serang District FY. 2022): Project Case Study: Sentul Road Rehabilitation - Bendung Terrace - Tirtayasa, Serang District FY. 2022 Muhammad Ridho Alcaesar; Eri Susanto Hariyadi; Mardiaman
JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING BUILDING AND TRANSPORTATION Vol. 7 No. 2 (2023): Article In Press
Publisher : Universitas Medan Area

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31289/jcebt.v7i2.10346

Abstract

Construction projects have precise plans and completion times. This turnaround time is affected by the performance of the workers and the method of execution. In this road rehabilitation work, there are several stages of work that require time to complete. The Monte Carlo method can estimate the completion time which can be calculated with the optimistic time, the most likely time and the pessimistic time. In this study using quantitative analysis method which refers to 10 respondents with each working device, namely contractors, consultants, owners and foremen. The results of the study show difference between opinions regarding the estimated time for implementation between contractors, consultants, owners and foremen. The comparison results of the Monte Carlo simulation were obtained with a difference of 1.7 – 1.9 weeks when compared with the actual results.