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Journal : Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology (FINTECH)

China in Terms of Exchange Rate, Inflation and Interest Rate (Based on Database 2018) Betrix Silitonga; Halimah Cahyaning Fajri; Trian Hutaria
Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): April 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fintech.v1i2.4365

Abstract

This research model looks at the long-term relationship between exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) co-integration analysis based on database 2018. This study aims to ensure stability in the exchange regime through the structurally nexus of interest rates and inflation volatility and its targets. The data used is historical data on the country of China from 1987-2017. The results of the estimates show that inflation and interest rates in the previous period had a significant effect on the movement of the Chinese exchange rate, while the movement of the exchange rate of the previous period did not affect the movement of the exchange rate of the next period. Although there is a long-term cointegration between the independent variables, namely interest rates and inflation (CPI) against the dependent variables i.e. exchange rates, the long-term relationship between independent variables does not significantly affect the dependent variables.
Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage: Export Potential Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia Database 2018 Betrix Silitonga; Natalia Artha Malau; Garan Paruta; Ivan Hannoeriadi Ardiansyah
Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): April 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fintech.v1i2.4386

Abstract

As the largest CPO exporter country in the world, Indonesia's CPO production is increasing every year. Even though Indonesia's CPO production has increased, Indonesia's CPO has a slow growth rate, low productivity and the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO to destination countries has not increased. The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors that influence the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO and formulate policies that can increase the competitiveness of Indonesian CPO. Quantitative analysis uses Stata 14 along with panel data with the 2018 database. Export volume growth, selling prices, inflation and population growth in importing countries have a negative effect on the competitiveness of CPO export commodities while GDP growth in importing countries and exchange rates have a positive relationship to competitiveness CPO export commodity.