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Journal : Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

Sales forecasting of marketing using adaptive response rate single exponential smoothing algorithm Tegar Arifin Prasetyo; Evan Richardo Sianipar; Poibe Leny Naomi; Ester Saulina Hutabarat; Rudy Chandra; Wesly Mailander Siagian; Goklas Henry Agus Panjaitan
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 31, No 1: July 2023
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v31.i1.pp423-432

Abstract

Micro, small and medium enterprises (UMKM) is one of the important aspects to support the improvement of the economy in Indonesia. Zee Mart’s business is one of the UMKM shop in Pematang Siantar City with sales and purchase transaction activities for supplies. The purpose of this study is to predict the sales of Zee Mart store goods in the coming month using the adaptive response rate single exponential smoothing (ARRSES) method. ARRSES is a method with the advantage of having two parameters, alpha and beta, where alpha will change every period when the data pattern changes. The dataset obtained will be pre-processed through data selection, cleaning, and transformation. The best beta is determined based on the level of accuracy calculated using the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Model development using the ARRSES method will produce forecasting percentages and errors for each product using MAPE. The number of sales data is 23,092 before preprocessing and 23,021 after pre-processing, with the total quantity of goods sold being 149,764 of 1,492 products. The results obtained using sales data 23,021 show the lowest MAPE value of 9.85 at the best beta of 0.6 with the highest accuracy of 90.15% and the model is implemented into a web interface.
Evaluating the efficacy of univariate LSTM approach for COVID-19 data prediction in Indonesia Tegar Arifin Prasetyo; Joshua Pratama Silitonga; Matthew Alfredo; Risky Saputra Siahaan; Roberd Saragih; Dewi Handayani; Rudy Chandra
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 34, No 2: May 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v34.i2.pp1353-1366

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, originating in 2020, has emerged as a critical global issue due to its rapid and widespread transmission. Indonesia, among the affected nations, has taken measures to address the situation, including the development of a deep learning model for predicting future COVID-19 infection and spread. This predictive tool serves as a valuable reference for the government and stakeholders, aiding them in making informed decisions and implementing appropriate measures to contain the virus. The deep learning model employs the long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm, chosen for its ability to recognize temporal patterns in the country’s COVID-19 data. The model creation process involves data collection, preprocessing, model architecture planning, modeling, training, and evaluation. Two LSTM models were developed: a univariate and a multivariate model. Following thorough training and evaluation, the univariate model emerged as the superior choice, boasting evaluation metrics of 16.72 for mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and 66.36 for root mean squared error (RMSE). This model was then deployed on a publicly accessible website, presenting visualizations of past COVID-19 data and predictions of future cases through line graphs. This user-friendly platform enables the public to access and analyze the data easily.
Refining tomato disease recognition: hyperparameter tuning on ResNet-101 architecture for precise leaf-based classification Tegar Arifin Prasetyo; Tiurma Lumban Gaol; Nico Felix Sipahutar; Tessalonika Siahaan; Trito Exaudi Manik; Rudy Chandra
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 34, No 2: May 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v34.i2.pp1204-1213

Abstract

Tomatoes plants are widely recognized as versatile vegetables globally. This study aims to develop a high-precision web interface for classifying various leaf diseases in tomatoes. Utilizing a convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm using the residual network-101 (ResNet-101) architecture, this tool aids farmers in accurately identifying leaf diseases in tomatoes, thereby reducing the risk of crop failure. The dataset comprises 6,800 images, categorized into four classes: early blight, spider mites two spotted, tomato yellow leaf curl virus, and healthy tomatoes, each containing 1,700 images. Hyperparameter tuning was conducted as part of an experiment aimed at enhancing the performance of the model. Experiments involved varying epoch values (10, 25, 30, 50, 60, 75, 100, and 110), a fixed batch size of 4, different learning rates (0.1, 0.01, 0.001, 0.0001), and num workers (4, 8, 16). The results demonstrated an accuracy of 99% with 100 epochs, a batch size of 4, a learning rate of 0.001, and 16 num workers. Consequently, this research contributes to a deeper understanding of disease management in tomato plants, ensuring optimal quality and quantity of the harvest.