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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis
Syarifah Amaliah
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Dampak free trade arrangements (FTA) terhadap ekonomi makro, sektoral, regional, dan distribusi pendapatan di Indonesia Rina Oktaviani; . Widyastutik; Syarifah Amaliah
Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia Vol. 15 No. 3 (2010): Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia
Publisher : Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (504.584 KB)

Abstract

Indonesia's commitment to be involved in the scheme of Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is expected to bring a multiplier effect for the Indonesian economy, including sectoral, regional, and household distributional impact. The study was conducted using recursive dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) with further extension on top-down regional features. In the short term, the impact of the FTA has not seemed to significantly increase the national and regional GOP of each province. Trade liberalization scheme could potentially reduce the real income of households, the largest decline in low-income households in rural areas. Increased household income disparities need to be accounted with a serious community empowerment program to avoid social and economic conflicts. Increased competitiveness on regional and sectoral level is necessary. Improvement on market access is mandatory for several advantageous commodities. By increasing competitiveness, quality of infrastructures, and access to export markets, the export performance can beimproved. From the internal side, an efficient supply chain management is also crucial to meet the desires of consumers with quality, time, price and the right amount.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI IMPOR SUSU INDONESIA Syarifah Amaliah; Idqan Fahmi
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 4 No. 2 (2007): Vol. 4 No. 2 Oktober 2007
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (659.779 KB) | DOI: 10.17358/jma.4.2.91-102

Abstract

The condition of excess demand that is happening to the milk commodity is the result of the low capacity in domestic milk production that has made Indonesia faced with the option of importing milk. The rise in volume of imported milk that occurred after the remission of the import ratio policy indicates that domestic milk competitiveness is low. Quantitative analysis using Engle-Granger Co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyze factors influencing imported milk for the long-term and the short-term through one-way comparison produced a crucial research implication towards the increase of domestic milk production for the short-term. On the other hand, for the long-term, real price for domestic milk holds a key role in increasing competitiveness. The remission of the import ratio policy as an act to minimize trade restriction basically increases import volume, nevertheless it is thought that it can be overcome with an exit strategy of increasing domestic milk production for the short-term.
Co-Authors Idqan Fahmi Rina Oktaviani Widyastutik