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PENGARUH EKSPOR, IMPOR DAN JUMLAH PENDUDUK TERHADAP PDB INDONESIA TAHUN 1969 -2016 Affandi Affandi; Eddy Gunawan
Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam (Darussalam Journal of Economic Perspec Vol 4, No 2 (2018): Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Islam, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis - Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (303.22 KB) | DOI: 10.21157/j.ked.hewan.v%vi%i.13021

Abstract

This research aims to know the influence of export, import and population against Indonesia gross domestic product. The data used in this research is secondary data from the years 1969-2016 were sourced from a variety of reports and the compilation of the particular publication of the World Bank. The model used was multiple linear regression analysis method using the approach of Generalized Least Square parameter estimation (GLS). The results of calculations indicate that the variable is positive and significant effect of exports to GDP, population of Indonesia a negative and significant effect against Indonesia'S GDP, while imports of influential positive and insignificant to GDP Indonesian. The value of the coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.9464 adj.)show that Indonesia'S GDP amounted to 94.64 percent affected by the Export, import and Population, while the remaining 5.36 percent affected by factors other than this research.Keywords : Import, Export, Population, Gross Domestic Product, Generalized Least SquareAbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh ekspor, impor dan jumlah penduduk terhadap produk domestik bruto Indonesia. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder dari tahun 1969-2016 yang bersumber dari berbagai laporan dan kompilasi khususnya publikasidari World Bank. Model yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda dengan metode analisis menggunakan pendekatan estimasi parameter Generalized Least Square (GLS). Hasil perhitungan menunjukkan bahwa variabel ekspor berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, jumlah penduduk berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia, sedangkan imporberpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap PDB Indonesia. Nilai koefisien determinasi (Adj.R2= 0.9464) Menunjukkan bahwa PDB Indonesia sebesar 94,64 persen dipengaruhi oleh Ekspor, Impor dan Jumlah Penduduk, sedangkan sisanya 5,36 persen dipengaruhi oleh faktor-faktor lain diluar penelitian ini.Kata Kunci : Impor, Ekspor, Jumlah Penduduk, Produk Domestik Bruto, Generalized Least Square
PENGARUH ANGGARAN PENDIDIKAN, TINGKAT KEMISKINANDAN KETIMPANGAN TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO DI PROVINSI ACEH Affandi Affandi; T. Zulham; Eddy Gunawan
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 4, No 2 (2017): November 2017
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (609.32 KB)

Abstract

This research aims to know the influence of the educational budget, poverty and inequality against GRDP Aceh province. The research method used is quantitative research. The data used is the data time series 2010-2015 and cross section 23 county/city in Aceh province. Secondary data is sourced from the Ministry of finance and the Central Bureau of statistics. Analytical techniques used is regression analysis with panel data model parameter estimation using the fixed effect model (FEM) weighted. The data used is the data panel during the Years 2010-2015.Research results show that the education budget and inequality of positive and significant effect against the GRDP, while the variable rates of poverty and significant negative effect against the GRDP. The value of the coefficient of determination (adj. R2 = 0,9966) shows that the free variables, educational budget, the poverty and inequality are able to explain variations from the variable, i.e., GRDP her factors not included in a model or explained in error term (e).
PENGARUH GAYA KEPEMIMPINAN PARTISIPATIF TERHADAP ORGANIZATIONAL TRUST DAN KOMITMEN ORGANISASI SERTA DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KINERJA PEGAWAI Mirdha Fahlevi SI; Affandi Affandi
Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kajian Strategi Manajemen Vol 3, No 2 (2019): JURNAL BISNIS DAN KAJIAN STRATEGI MANAJEMEN
Publisher : universitas teuku umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (215.33 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/jbkan.v3i2.1381

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between participative leadership and employee in role performance in public sector, with mediating role of organizational trust and organizational commitment. Data were collected from 276 employees in several goverment agencies of republic of Indonesia. Convenience sampling method is used to collect the data from responden. This research used path analysis to analyze the data. Based on the reseach finding, participative leadership directly impact on employee in role performance. In addition,organizational trust and organizational commitment does not mediate the relationship beetwen dependen and independen variable. The results showed participative leadership will be improved employee in role performance in goverment agencies. Key words : Participative Leadership, In role Performance, employee
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA TAHUN 1994-2020 Affandi, A; Okta Rabiana Risma
Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kajian Strategi Manajemen Vol 5, No 1 (2021): JURNAL BISNIS DAN KAJIAN STRATEGI MANAJEMEN
Publisher : universitas teuku umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/jbkan.v5i1.3233

Abstract

This study aims to find out the factors that affect Indonesia's economic growth. To achieve the objectives of the study, this study used independent variables in the form of foreign investment (FDI), exchange rates, and interest rates. The data used in this research is secondary data from 1994-2020 sourced from various reports and compilations, especially publications from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia. The model used in this study was multiple linear regression with the method of analysis of the smallest square approach (Ordinary Least Square). The calculation results show that foreign investment variables, and exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on economic growth. The coefficient of determination (Adj.R2= 0.806) indicates that Indonesia's economic growth of 80.6 percent is influenced by foreign investment (FDI), exchange rates, and interest rates, while the remaining 19.4 percent is influenced by other factors outside this research. To increase the rate of economic growth, the government needs to increase the amount of FDI in Indonesia and maintain the stability of the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, thereinafter lowering the interest rate in order to increase domestic investment, in order to create an optimal national total production. Keywords     : Economic Growth, Foreign Investment (PMA), Exchange Rate, and Interest Rate
EFEKTIVITAS PENGELUARAN KESEHATAN DAN PENDIDIKAN PEMERINTAH UNTUK MENINGKATKAN INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA Okta Rabiana Risma; Affandi Affandi; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (242.814 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1368

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This research aims to analyse how much influence the proportion of government expenditure on health and education as a supporting improvement of human development index in Aceh Province. The model used in the study was the panel data model i.e. from 2012 to 2013. As for in this research the variables are tested i.e. Government expenditure on health (KS) and government expenditure in education (PDK) as independent variables. Meanwhile, Human Development Index (HDI) as its dependencies variable. Based on regression gained that the best approach to the outcome of this study is fixed effect model. Health variables have a negative and insignificant influence on human development indices. While the educational variables are significant and positive to the HDI  in Aceh.Keywords: Panel model, Government expenditure, human development index.
ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN EKSPOR DAN IMPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA Syahril Syahril; Affandi Affandi; Okta Rabiana Risma; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (383.401 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1371

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This research aims study is to explain the area of oil palm, the productivity of oil palm, CPO export offers for the year, CPO import demand and the balance of Indonesia CPO export and import. we use time series data for 1981-2014 years and econometrics models in the form of simultaneous equations with 2SLS method. The focus of the study is the balance of Indonesia's CPO export and import for the period 1981-2014 years. Statistical analysis of multiple linear regression using the Shazam 10. F Test Results show that the current domestic CPO prices, current domestic rubber prices, the area of oil palm land in the previous year had a significant effect on land area. Current CPO export prices, current domestic CPO prices, and previous year's oil palm productivity have a significant effect on CPO productivity and the current fertilizer prices have no significant effect. Current CPO export prices, current CPO production and previous year's CPO exports, the current rupiah exchange rate against the dollar today has a significant effect on CPO export offers while the current rupiah against the dollar has no significant effect on export offers. Current CPO import prices, current GDP have a significant effect on CPO import demand while the previous year's import demand had no significant effect on import demand. The CPO export offer of the previous year had a significant effect on the balance of Indonesia's CPO export prices while the rupiah exchange rate against the current dollar, current CPO production, CPO export of the previous year, current year's GDP and import of the previous year had no significant effect on Indonesia's CPO export price balance. Keywords: Land Area, Domestic CPO Production, CPO Productivity, CPO Exports, CPO Imports, Domestic CPO Prices, CPO Export Prices, CPO Import Prices, Rubber Prices, Exchange Rates, GDP and Fertilizer Prices.
ANALISIS TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN DAN TPAK TERHADAP PDRB PERKAPITA DI INDONESIA Affandi Affandi; Mirdha Fahlevi SI; Okta Rabiana Risma
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (288.562 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1363

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This research would be to see the extent of the influence of education level and the participation rate of labour force on the PDRB per capita of Indonesian society. An education level indicator is a school participation number that consists of 19-24 years, 16-18 years, 13-15 years and 7-12 years and the workforce is measured through the labour force participation rate, while the production factor used by PDRB from 33 provinces in Indonesian. The method used is quantitative with time series 2010-2014 data and cross section 33 Province in Indonesia. Secondary Data is sourced from BPS. The analysis technique uses the data panel with the method Random effect model (REM). Research conclusion: (1) The PDRB per capita of 76.53 is influenced by the level of education and participation rate of labour force while the remaining 23.47 percent is influenced by other factors beyond this study. (2) APS ages 19-24, age 16-18 years and APS age 13-25 years positively and significantly impact the PDRB per capita in Indonesia. (3) APS ages 7-12 years and TPAK has a significant and negative impact on the PDRB per capita in Indonesia. Keywords: education level, workforce level, PDRB Percapita, Data Panel
ANALISIS IMPOR BERAS DAN KESEIMBANGAN PASAR BERAS INDONESIA Helmi Noviar; Affandi Affandi
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (236.351 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1364

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The study aims to find and test simultaneous equation models in an effort to obtain the right model to estimate fit in the analysis of the needs of a national rice reserve. By using the data of the Central Board of Statistics of various editions and data of the Food Agricultural Organization all data needs of variables can be fulfilled.The method of estimation is using Two stage Ordinary Least Square (TSLS). Taking into consideration the condition of the variables, this model is identified overidentified, using some variable lag. The estimated results show some parameters quite significant, there are still some variables that are not statistically significant. Therefore, it is necessary pedekatan more precise model specifications, and other estimation methods, such as the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) technique. Keywords: Simultaneous Model, partial adjusment, TSLS
Pengaruh Migrasi Masuk dan Upah Minimum Provinsi Terhadap Pengangguran di Kota Banda Aceh Uswatul Hasanah; T. Zulham; Mahrizal Mahrizal; Affandi Affandi
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 7, No 1 (2021) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v0i0.3242

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This research was conducted in Banda Aceh with research variables consisting of in-house migration, provincial minimum wage and unemployment using secondary data based on the time of 2009-2018. This study used multiple regression analysis models, classic assumption tests, correlation coefficients (R), coefficient determination (R Adjusted), t test and F test. Based on this research obtained results that incoming migration has a positive and insignificant effect on unemployment with a sign value of 0.081 > 0.05 and the provincial minimum wage variable has a significant effect on unemployment with a significance of 0.010 < 0.05. The coefficient value of determination was 64 percent, so independent variables influenced as much as 64 percent and the remaining 36 percent were influenced by other variables outside the study. It is expected that the results of this research can be a consideration for the banda aceh government in implementing policies to overcome the number of unemployed as well as other policies on migration and the provincial minimum wage.Keywords: Incoming Migration, Provincial Minimum Wage and Unemployment
Supply Chain Strategy for World Price of Crude Palm Oil and Its Production on Palm Oil Marketing Margins in Indonesia: An Application of Pairwise Granger Causality Syahril Syahril; Jumadil Saputra; Alisman Alisman; Affandi Affandi; Helmi Noviar; Rollis Juliansyah; Mahrizal Mahrizal
International Journal of Supply Chain Management Vol 9, No 1 (2020): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
Publisher : International Journal of Supply Chain Management

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (249.714 KB)

Abstract

Abstract- This study aims to examine the supply chain strategy in causal relationship between world CPO price causality, production and marketing margin price using the Granger causality approach in the period January 2006-December 2017. This research proves that: (i) The results of the bivariate causality test explain that Indonesian CPO production has a single causality direction with world CPO prices. (ii) The results of the impulse response function and variance decomposition explain that the shock of the marketing margin variable gives a fluctuating response to fluctuations in world CPO prices, but the response is always positively given by the shock marketing margin in response to changes experienced by the variable world CPO prices. The results of this study are efforts to increase the price of CPO in the country by encouraging the development of palm oil derivative industries in increasing derivatives of high economic value products.