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Annisa Rahmawati
Program Studi Sistem Komputer Fakultas Teknik Universitas Diponegoro
Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Nursing Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Media Statistika

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MODEL CURAH HUJAN EKSTREM DI KOTA SEMARANG MENGGUNAKAN ESTIMASI MOMENT PROBABILITAS TERBOBOTI Rusgiyono, Agus; Wuryandari, Triastuti; Rahmawati, Annisa
MEDIA STATISTIKA Vol 8, No 1 (2015): Media Statistika
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (451.893 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/medstat.8.1.13-22

Abstract

The methods is used to analyze extreme rainfall is the Extreme Value Theory (EVT). One of the approaches of EVT is the Block Maxima (BM) which it follows the distribution of Generalized Extreme Value (GEV). In this study, the dasarian rainfall data of 1990-2013 in the Semarang City is divided based on block monthly and examined in October, November, December, January, February, March and April. The resulted blocks are 24 with 3 observations each block. Parameter shape, location and scale are estimated  Probability Weight Moments (PWM) methodes The result of this study are January has the greatest occurrence chance of extreme value, estimated of parameter shape 0,3840564, location 138,8152989 and scale 68,6067117. In addition, the alleged maximum value of dasarian rainfall obtained in a period of 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 years are 243,45753 mm, 308,23559 mm, 357,26996 mm, 397,96557 mm and 433,28889 mm respectively. Keywords: Rainfall, Extreme Value Theory, Block Maxima, Generalized Extreme Value, Probability Weight Moments
Co-Authors Achmad Lutfi Agus Rusgiyono Amrullah, Syahid Andriani, Riska Bernawati, Yustrida Dewi Puspitasari Dian Agustia Ginting, Rudi Indri Erwhani Isidora Karsini S, Isidora Karsini istiqomah istiqomah Kurniahu, Hesti Mardiyani, Ridha Panubut Simorangkir Pargaputri, Agni Febrina Rani Rumita SITI MARYAM Sriwulan Sriwulan Triastuti Wuryandari