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Journal : JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA

Peramalan Jumlah Kedatangan Wisatawan Menggunakan Support Vector Regression Berbasis Sliding Window Fitriah, Ma’idatul; Permana, Inggih; Salisah, Febi Nur; Munzir, Medyantiwi Rahmawita; Megawati, Megawati
JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA Vol 8, No 3 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Budi Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30865/mib.v8i3.7408

Abstract

As a developing city, Pekanbaru has the potential for attractive tourist attractions for tourists. The arrival of tourists has had a big positive impact on the economy of Pekanbaru City. The number of tourist arrivals can experience ups and downs every month, for this reason it is necessary to forecast the number of tourists in the future. This research aims to apply the Orange Data Mining application in predicting the number of tourist arrivals by comparing the kernels in the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method and applying Sliding Window size 3 to window size 13 to transform into time series data. As well as sharing data using the K-Fold Validation method with a value of K-10. Then the performance of the kernels used can be seen using the Test and Score widget which presents the results of Root Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), dan R-squared(R2). The results for forecasting the number of tourist arrivals to Pekanbaru City using the SVR method show that the RBF Kernel is the optimal choice compared to the Polinomial and Linear Kernels. The results of the Test and Score widget show that the RBF Kernel with window size 10 has lower MAE, MSE and RMSE values, namely 0.118, 0.022 and 0.147. Apart from that, the comparison of R2 in window size 10 for Kernel RBF shows better performance with a value of 0.519.
Prediksi Jumlah Bayi Penerima Imunisasi DPT 1 dan DPT 2 Menggunakan Support Vector Regression Idriani R, Nova; Permana, Inggih; Salisah, Febi Nur; Megawati, Megawati; Rahmawita M, Medyantiwi
JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA Vol 8, No 3 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Budi Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30865/mib.v8i3.7694

Abstract

Vaccination against diphtheria, pertussis (whooping cough), and tetanus is known as DPT immunization, which protects a person from three serious diseases. This vaccine is given in the form of an injection where there are 5 antigens in one injection of the vaccine. DPT immunization is a complete routine immunization that will be continued in grades 1 to 6 elementary school. DPT immunization is feared by mothers because of the side effects that occur in babies after the vaccine injection, namely that the baby will have a fever and be fussy. This has resulted in delays in collecting data on babies who have received this immunization, which has an impact on estimates of babies who will receive DPT immunization in the following month. Of course, this will disrupt the stock of vaccines provided, causing the potential for them to be out of stock. To overcome this problem, it is necessary to collect data on babies who have received DPT in the previous month. This data will be used to predict babies who will receive DPT immunization in the following month using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method. So that the community health center can provide information regarding the prediction of the number of babies who will receive DPT immunization. This method uses three kernels and a Sliding Window to divide the data into smaller segments, moving alternately across the time series data, making it suitable for predicting babies who will receive DPT immunization in the next time interval. From the three kernels used on the two data that have been separated into DPT 1 and DPT 2, windowing size 3 linear kernels were obtained which were selected as an accurate evaluation of model work on DPT 1 with MAPE values of 3.35, RMSE 0.193, and R2 0.1. And windowing size 3 RBF kernels are more optimal in DPT 2 with MAPE values of 7.86, RMSE 0.163, and R2 0.288.