Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan is a journal that is focused as an empirical means of publication of scientific papers with emphasis contents of the article on the use of quantitative analysis tools (econometrics, parametric and non-parametric statistics, descriptive statistics, input-output, CGE, etc.) in studies of economic and social.
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<![CDATA[Kebijakan Pemerintah Dalam Rangka Pemulihan Ekonomi Dan Keterkaitannya Dengan Merebaknya Flu Burung ]]>
<![CDATA[Muryani Muryani]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Udayana ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p10
<![CDATA[The negative impact of the outbreak of bird flu on economic sectors in the sectoral and macro aspect is analized using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models. Base on SNSE 2008 dataand some disagregation data sectors, two simulations are conducted. The result of the simulation studies indicate that there is the decrease in the production of poultry meat sector (traditional and medium-large) and egg sectors impact on the micro and macro aspects of the economy. This research is the second step of my research deal with Avian flu and the economy.The first step was the negative impact of avian flu on economy which was already published on Asian Social Economic Journal by last year. The result of this research are : On the micro level in domestic market there are decresed production and increased prices in the poultry sector, eggs, other farms, restaurants and services. While in the foreign market there are decresed exports as well as imports. Similarly, there is a decline in consumption by the entire group of household due to a decline in the acceptance by all groups of households and firms. Government revenue also declined due to a decrease in taxes from households and firms.At the macro level there are a decline in GDP and a decline in the investment. The last simulation illustrate the increase of production and the impact of government policy on the micro aspects and the overall economy. On the micro level in domestic market there are increased production and falling prices in the sector of poultry, eggs, other farms, restaurants and services. While in foreign market there are increased exports and decreased imports in almost all sectors. Similarly, there are an increase in consumption by the entire group of households due to an increse in the acceptance by all groups of households and firms. Government revenue also increased due to an increse in taxes from household and firms.]]>
<![CDATA[Studi Kesinambungan Fiskal Pada Variabel Makro Ekonomi Indonesia: Analisis VAR ]]>
<![CDATA[Adhitya Wardhono]]>;
<![CDATA[Ciplis Gema Qori’ah]]>;
<![CDATA[Christina Dwi Ayu Wulandari]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Udayana ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p01
<![CDATA[This research was identify determine the fiscal structure formation and the impact of foreign debt on fiscal sustainabilityin Indonesia. The model is described by a variable fiscal sustainability of foreign debt and fiscal macro variables as independent variables. Empirically, this model using time series data in the form of quarterly data began in 2004.I - 2012.IV, the focus of this study using two methods of analysis: descriptive narrative qualitative analysis and causal analysis using VAR (Vector Auto Regressive). The results of this study demonstrated through two tests of hypotheses, which test the IR (Impulse Response) and VD (Variance Decomposition). IR estimation results indicate that there are reciprocal relationship among SBI, foreign debt and oil price. The VD test indicate that SBI, inflation and oil price are more dominant in influencing fiscal sustainability in Indonesia.]]>
<![CDATA[Pengaruh Faktor Sosial, Ekonomi, Dan Demografi Terhadap Penggunaan Kontrasepsi Di Denpasar ]]>
<![CDATA[Ida Ayu Gde Dyastari Saskara]]>;
<![CDATA[Anak Agung Istri Ngurah Marhaeni]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p06
<![CDATA[Control of high population growth rate can be done by setting restrictions on the number of children by contraceptive methods. Percentage of KB acceptors towards couples in West Denpasar is the highest around Denpasar City, yet had high number in couples that had not yet become accpetors. This study aims to determine the effect of age at first marriage, level of education of women in reproductive age, employment status, household income, and number of children on the duration of contraceptive use in West Denpasar. The number of samples is 100 respondents through interview. Analysis thecnique used is multiple linear regressions. The result showed that simultaneous variable age at first marriage, education, employment status, household income, and number of children still living longer affect the use of contraception. Partially, only the age at first marriage variable negatively affecting the duration of contraceptive use. The number of children variable is the dominant variable affecting the duration of contraceptive use in West Denpasar.]]>
<![CDATA[Estimasi Nilai Pasar Wajar Ekuitas PT Prima Layanan Nasional Enjiniring Dalam Persiapan Initial Public Offering (IPO) ]]>
<![CDATA[Ahmad Rizani]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Udayana ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p11
<![CDATA[PT Prima Layanan Nasional Enjiniring (PT PLN Enjiniring) plans to conduct an initial public offering in 2012 that is intended for business development. Purpose of this research was to estimate the fair market value of equity of PT PLN Enjiniring in the framework of an initial public offering. Fair market value of equity of PT PLN Enjiniring is acquired by using discounted cash flow-free cash flow to equity method. Information used for this research come from two secondary data from financial reports and other information contained in the annual report 2008-2010 PT PLN Enjiniring years audited by public accountants, comperative financial reports, and company’s stock data comparison. The estimated fair market value of equity of PT PLN Enjiniring per December 31st 2011 by using the method of discounted cash flow-free cash flow to equity is obtained indication the fair market value of equity amounting to Rp2.583.155.716.515.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Hubungan Kepemimpinan Dan Tuntutan Tugas Terhadap Komitmen Organisasi Pada PT.Allianz Life: Analisis Korelasi ]]>
<![CDATA[Khalid Iskandar]]>;
<![CDATA[Rita Ventarini]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p02
<![CDATA[This study aimed to obtain information on the relationship between the independent variables, namely; Leadership (X1) and Task Demands (X2) on the dependent variable is the Organizational Commitment (Y) on PT. Allianz Life, either individually or jointly. The hypothesis tested in this study were: (i) Suspected Leadership positively related to Organizational Commitment; (ii) Anticipated task demands are positively related to Organizational Commitment; (iii) It is assumed jointly Leadership and task demands have a positive relationship to Organizational Commitment. Based on the calculations and Spearman rank correlation analysis results can be seen that the relationship between leadership and task demands on organizational commitment is huge, that is the value of rs by 81% and the rest influenced by other factors. The coefficient of determination stating the contribution of leadership and task demands on organizational commitment by 67% and the remaining contribution of other factors. From the results of hypothesis testing found that t count> t table, namely 6.22> 1.71 so the hypothesis which states that "Leadership and Task Demands Related to Organizational Commitment" unacceptable.]]>
<![CDATA[Analisis Profitabilitas Bank Umum Go Public di Indonesia Sebelum dan Setelah Krisis : Internal dan Eksternal Faktor ]]>
<![CDATA[Palupi Lindiasari S.]]>;
<![CDATA[Sri Undartik]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p07
<![CDATA[This study aims to give the analysis of the determinants of 16 Indonesia go-public banking profitability over the periode 2005-2014. This study focus on the impact of internal factors (NIM, BOPO, CAR, LDR and NPL) and external factors (inflation, BIrate, IHSG and GDPdeflator) before and after crisis. Furthermore, is to analize the simultaneous and growth effect of internal and external factors that have an influence to the profitability of go-public banking companies. Finally, is to give recommendation for managerial banking policy. This study using random effect method. The empirical result shows that Indonesia go-public banking is influenced by several factor both internal and external factors. After crisis CAR has positive and significant effect on ROA by 0,1 times larger than the effect of before crisis CAR. Whereas other internal factor (BOPO, NPL and NIM) give the same effect on ROA, both before and after crisis. Bank ownership (DUMP) and LDR have no significant effect on ROA neither before nor after crisis. External factor (Infation, BIrate and IHSG) are significant different effect on ROA’s before and after crisis condition. Only GDPdeflator give the same effect on ROA both before and after crisis condition. The recommendation from this result is managerial banking needed to reduce growth of internal factor that cause negatif side effect on ROA.]]>
<![CDATA[Pola Konsumsi Siaran Televisi Di Denpasar: Statistik Deskriptif ]]>
<![CDATA[Ni Made Ras Amanda G]]>;
<![CDATA[Dewi Yuri Cahyani]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Udayana ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p03
<![CDATA[Nowadays television has become the most favorite media. Watching television become ritual for the audiences. Television in fact have negative impact. Therefore, the aim of this research is to gain descriptive data about how is the pattern of television consumption in Denpasar. The research was quantitative research by using questionnaire. The research came out that audiences choose to watch television in finding information and entertainment. But Denpasar’s audiences were not categorizes in heavy viewers. The most favorite program is sinetron and news. For that television’s programs should be educated and informative.]]>
<![CDATA[Keunggulan Komparatif Produk Alas Kaki Indonesia Ke Negara ASEAN Tahun 2013 ]]>
<![CDATA[Kadek Mega Silvia Andriani]]>;
<![CDATA[I Komang Gde Bendesa]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p08
<![CDATA[Export of footwear products Indonesia has potential that is strong enough to compete with other countries in ASEAN. The purpose in this research to measure the competitiveness of Indonesia’s footwear products the ASEAN in 2013 and analyze the effect of labor productivity, inflation and exchange rate, the export value of footwear to Indonesia 2000-2013. In this study uses secondary data from 1994-2013 and analyzed using the analysis technique of RCA, RCDA, RTA, ISP, and multiple linear analysis techniques. Results of this study stated that Indonesia has a footwear product comparative advantage decreases, which is analyzed by RCA to measure on the export, import side by RCDA, RTA on side of exports and imports, and ISP’s to measure the stage of growth products footwear, as well multiple linear analysis results for each of the variables that affect labor productivity positively and significantly to the export value of footwear, exchange rate effect is positive but not significant to the export value of footwear, and inflation effect is negative and not significant to the export value of footwear.]]>
<![CDATA[Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara (Wisman) Ke Bali Tahun 2019: Metode ARIMA ]]>
<![CDATA[Rukini Rukini]]>;
<![CDATA[Putu Simpen Arini]]>;
<![CDATA[Esthisatari Nawangsih]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Udayana ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p04
<![CDATA[IndonesiaTourism has been growing significantly over the past few years. In 2013, income from tourism reached 10,054 millions dollars, occupied the third place of indonesia export commodities. The ministry of tourism and creatice economy has targeted 20 millions arrivals and 240 trillion rupiahs from international tourist arrivals in 2019. As Bali has been contributing for more than 40 percent of international tourist arrivals in Indonenesia, it is expected to have around 8 millions international arrivals in 2019. Using ARIMA method, it is predicted that the number of international tourist arrivals in Bali will be 5,07 millions in 2019, far below the target. This result suggests that government should give more effort to develop tourism in the upcoming years to fulfil the target.]]>
<![CDATA[Pentingnya Kondisi Ekonomi Rumah Tangga Dalam Perawatan Ibu Hamil Dan Imunisasi Anak Di Indonesia Tahun 2002-2003: Model Probit ]]>
<![CDATA[Budiyanto Budiyanto]]>;
<![CDATA[Djoni Hartono]]>;
<![CDATA[Agni Alam Awirya]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216) ]]>
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p09
<![CDATA[Rate of mother and child mortality still is high in Indonesia. Some factors including economy condition has impact in the effort of giving treatment to pregnant mother and child immunize. This study analyse about factors influencing health treatment of health child and mother. It used 3 dependent variables 1) treatment frequency visit of pregnancy to health center 2) usage of ferrum suplemen during pregnancy, and 3). immunizing child. Data which used in this research is data Demography and Health Survey of Indonesia 2002-2003. This study uses probit model. The result is independent variable such as respondent’s characteristic like earnings of household, wife and husband’s education, amount of children, child sequence, urban residence and also demography characteristic have significant effect to all dependent variables. This research have important role in improving health of mother and child which is very required in development of nation at present and future.]]>
