Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
Universitas Syiah Kuala

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NILAI TUKAR DAN HARGA SAHAM DI INDONESIA Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar; Taufq Carnegie Dawood; Fakhruddin Fakhruddin; Cut Zakia Rizki; Fitriyani Fitriyani; M. Ridha Siregar; Wahyu Hidayat
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 6, No 2 (2019): November 2019
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/ekapi.v6i2.16316

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Abstract The main study of research is to analyze the effect of changes in exchange rates of rupiah against share price in Indonesia. This research employed ARDL model and utilized monthly data for the variables of share price, nominal exchange rate, money supply and GDP. Data is generated from Bank Indonesia and Federal Reserve Economic Data webpage (FRED) from 2008 to 2017. The study results found a negative relationship between the exchange rate and stock price. It found convincing evidence that there is no two-way relationship between both parameters. But there is a positive relationship on other variables such as money supply and GDP during this period. On the basis of the research results obtained its current status, Bank Indonesia is recommended as monetary authority and OJK as capital market regulator must be more prudent in coordinating and cooperating to put together policies and strategies to maintain stable monetary policies to prevent unexpected external shocks which would eventually hit the capital market.
ANALISIS KESEDIAAN MEMBAYAR UNTUK RUMAH KELOMPOK MASYARAKAT BERPENDAPATAN RENDAH DI KOTA BANDA ACEH Cut Zakia Rizki; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 5, No 1 (2018): Mei 2018
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1134.665 KB)

Abstract

AbstractThis study aims to analyze the effect of various economic variables (ie education level and number of family members), hedonic variables (current occupied homes, number of bedrooms, number of living rooms, and bathrooms), spatial variables (range of house to market, workplaces and medical facilities) as well as amenitative variable (ie water network availability, garbage collection services availabilty, flood-free areas, and healthy environment) to the willingness to pay for homes for low-income groups in Banda Aceh City. The result of this study concluded that economic variables and some hedonic variables affect the willingness to pay for homes in poor communities in Banda Aceh city, while spatial and amenitative variables do not affect significantly. The total desire to pay is almost Rp.210 million or an average of Rp.1 million per month. Therefore, the government should provide a relatively cheaper vertical model housing for land acquisition, and easier provision of basic housing infrastructure.
PERKEMBANGAN KEBIJAKAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA Fitriyani Fitriyani; Diana Sapha; Cut Zakia Rizki; Nur Aidar; Ferayanti Ferayanti; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar; Amsal Irmalis
Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kajian Strategi Manajemen Vol 3, No 1 (2019): JURNAL BISNIS DAN KAJIAN STRATEGI MANAJEMEN
Publisher : universitas teuku umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (536.465 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/jbkan.v3i1.1365

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This study aims to analyze the development of exchange rate system, inflation and economic growth policies in Indonesia. The model used is a descriptive analysis model by dividing 3 exchange rate regimes from 1978 to 2018. The data used is annual data sourced from the world bank, the federal reserve economic data, and Bank Indonesia. The results showed that the exchange rate system in Indonesia is fluctuated throughout the year. This has an impact on economic growth rate and inflation which is also unstable. Therefore, Bank Indonesia must stabilize the rupiah exchange rate. For further research, it is also advisable to further analyze how the 3 periods of the exchange rate regimes work effectively in transmitting monetary policy through the exchange rate channel to macro variables.Key Words: Exchange rate, growth rate, inflation
ANALISIS BELANJA LANGSUNG DAERAH TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI ACEH M Satrio Budiharjo; Ferayanti Ferayanti; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 6, No 1 (2020) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v6i1.2003

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This study aims to analyze the effect of direct spending on poverty in Aceh Province, the method used in analyzing is Pool Least Square (PLS) analysis using annual data from 2013-2017 23 Cities / Districts in Aceh. The results showed that the direct expenditure variable negatively affected poverty in Aceh Province. Based on the coefficient value shown -5.24E-09 if poverty falls by 1 percent, direct expenditure will increase by Rp. 5,240,000,000.Keywords: Direct shopping, Poverty, Pool Least Square (PLS)
GENDER DAN PEMBANGUNAN KOTA DI DUNIA Faradiba Faradiba; M. Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 3 (2019): Agustus 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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AbstractThis study aims to examine how the relationship between gender and urban development. The method used is qualitative analysis method using City Prosperity Index (CPI) data published by UNHABITAT year 2016. From the data selected 34 city with complete data for deep study. Based on the results of the research, found the fact of gender development is not subtle in cities with very high and high CPI led to improved urban development. In cities with moderate CPI, gender development channels are already visible, which are building moderate cities. In cities with low and very low CPI, gender development is clearly visible and bad. Poor gender development is highly visible in cities with very low CPI. The implications are the things people do to build cities, to improve the quality of urban development. In addition, it is also necessary to focus on urban development in pockets of poverty such as Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and Central and South Asia.Keywords: Gender Development, City Development, City Prosperity
FORECASTING KONSUMSI LISTRIK DI INDONESIA Ridhani Ridhani; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 6, No 3 (2021): Agustus 2021
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/jimekp.v6i3.20483

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ABSTRACTThis study aims to determine the projection of electricity consumption needs in Indonesia in 2020 to 2024. This study uses the ARIMA model approach by using secondary data, namely electricity consumption data measured in KWh per capita units in Indonesia from 1971 to 2019, namely as much as 48 records. The results of this study indicate that the best model of electricity consumption projection is the ARIMA (1,1,0) model. Based on the results experiencing low fluctuation. The percentage value for 2020 to 2024 only ranges from 1.85 to 1.89% from the previous year. Because, every year there is an increase in electricity consumption in Indonesia, to minimize the risks that may occur in the future, PT PLN (Persero) must continue to increase productivity and increase the supply of electricity such as adding new transmissions, renewable energy and others to meet electricity consumption in the future. country. Keywords: Projection, ARIMA model, electricity consumption.
INFRASTRUKTUR PUBLIK DAN PERCEPATAN PEMBANGUNAN DI INDONESIA Rudi Alamsyah; M. Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 4 (2019): November 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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AbstractThis study aims to find out and analyze the budget in accelerating economic growth in Indonesia. The method used in this study is a quantitative analysis method using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The data used are time series data from 1968 to 2017. The variables used are economic growth, spending and exchange as a control variable. The results showed that infrastructure spending had a negative influence on economic growth in the short term and from the results of the study. Based on the findings, this research recommended to use infrastructure spending wisely to provide the infrastructures. The infrastructure, later on will safeguard  the economic growth in the futureKeywords: Economic growth, infrastructure spending, ARDL, Indonesia
STRUKTUR UMUR PENDUDUK DAN KEMISKINAN DI KABUPATEN ACEH BESAR Teuku M. Al-Hasansyah; M. Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 3 (2019): Agustus 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract

Abstrac This study aims to analyze the relationship between the age structure of the population and the level of poverty in Aceh Besar District. Variables in this study include the structure of the population's age, poverty, population education level, and occupation of the population. In conducting this research, the authors used a qualitative analysis method with secondary data obtained from the BPS SUSENAS (National Socio Economic Survey) in 2018. The use of this method aims to describe the characteristics of the population of Aceh Besar who are below the poverty line. The results showed that the level of poverty vulnerability in Aceh Besar was quite high. This is because the average level of education of the population is high school, so productivity is not too high. In addition, opportunities for the labor force to work in the formal sector are also relatively limited, which results in relatively low income levels. Most of Aceh Besar's population also works in primary sectors, where the added value of production is relatively small. Due to the low education and profession of the population in the primary sector, the majority of the middle-aged population (30-44 years) dominates very low and low incomes.Keywords: Population Age Structure, Poverty, Population Education Level, Population Work, Aceh Besar.
DAMPAK PEMANFAATAN LAHAN KOSONG TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN EKONOMI DI ACEH BESAR Mahyuni Mahyuni; T. Zulham T. Zulham; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2017): Agustus 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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AbstrakTujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi willingness to pay masyarakat Lambaro Angan terhadap konversi lahan kosong untuk kegiatan ekonomi dan industri. Jumlah sampel sebanyak 100 orang yang dipilih secara acak terhadap masyarakat yang berdomisili di Lambaro Angan. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda untuk menentukan keinginan membayar konversi lahan kosong. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel tingkat pendidikan dan pendapatan memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap willingness to pay dari konversi lahan kosong. Sedangkan variabel usia berhubungan positif tetapi tidak mempengaruhi willingness to pay konversi lahan kosong. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan agar pemerintah mengembangkan kawasan tersebut menjadi kawasan pusat pertumbuhan industri. Disamping itu penelitian selanjutnya dapat menambah sampel dan diperlukan pengembangan model yang lebih baik misalnya menggunakan metode cross-tab dan dapat menggunaakan eigen value. Kata Kunci : Willingness To Pay, konversi lahan kosong, Regresi Linear Berganda,             Lambaro Angan.
KORUPSI DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA Ruhul Aifa; M. Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 4 (2019): November 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract This study aims to analyze the relationship between corruption with poverty and a two-way relationship between corruption and poverty. The method used in this research is quantitative analysis method using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The data used are time series data from 1996 to 2017. The variables used are Corruption Perception Index (CPI) issued by Transparency International, and the World Bank's Poverty Rate Ratio. The results show that there is a positive and significant correlation between corruption and poverty in Indonesia. The relationship also applies in the short term and in the long run. From the research results also found a strong indication of a two-way relationship between corruption and poverty. The implication of this research is that decision makers in Indonesia need to constantly improve perceptions of Indonesia's corruption by improving oversight, improving the quality of governance and enforcing the law to improve perceptions of Indonesia's corruption. Keywords: Corruption, Poverty, Two-Way Relationship, ARDL, Indonesia