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Journal : JEJAK

PENENTUAN BENTUK FUNGSI MODEL EMPIRIK: STUDI KASUS PERMINTAAN KENDARAAN RODA EMPAT BARU Setyadharma, Andryan
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 1, No 1 (2008): March 2008
Publisher : Semarang State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v1i1.1451

Abstract

In many cases, the determination of form of the regression function of the empirical model betweenthe linear model and the log-linear model is neglected when someone starts research. Someoneconcludes the best model only by comparing the R2 value from respective function form and determinesthe best form of the function model only based on the highest R2 value. This is clearly wrong. This studyattempted to find the best regression function model by using two kinds of tests: MacKinnon, White andDavidson Test (MWD Test) and Bera and McAleer Test (B-M Test). This Study showed that the twoforms of the empirical function models-both the linear and log-linear functions- could be used to estimatethe demand of the new four wheels vehicle in Indonesia. Furthermore, checking by using classicalassumption, we found that the log-linear function model is the best model to estimate the demand of thenew four wheels vehicle in Indonesia.Keywords: empirical model, linear model, log-linear model
PENENTUAN BENTUK FUNGSI MODEL EMPIRIK: STUDI KASUS PERMINTAAN KENDARAAN RODA EMPAT BARU Setyadharma, Andryan
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 1, No 1 (2008): March 2008
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v1i1.1451

Abstract

In many cases, the determination of form of the regression function of the empirical model betweenthe linear model and the log-linear model is neglected when someone starts research. Someoneconcludes the best model only by comparing the R2 value from respective function form and determinesthe best form of the function model only based on the highest R2 value. This is clearly wrong. This studyattempted to find the best regression function model by using two kinds of tests: MacKinnon, White andDavidson Test (MWD Test) and Bera and McAleer Test (B-M Test). This Study showed that the twoforms of the empirical function models-both the linear and log-linear functions- could be used to estimatethe demand of the new four wheels vehicle in Indonesia. Furthermore, checking by using classicalassumption, we found that the log-linear function model is the best model to estimate the demand of thenew four wheels vehicle in Indonesia.Keywords: empirical model, linear model, log-linear model
Government’s Cash Transfers And School Dropout In Rural Areas Setyadharma, Andryan
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 11, No 2 (2018): September 2018
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v11i2.16125

Abstract

Indonesia is committed to education but the Government of Indonesia still struggle with dropout problem at upper secondary school level, especially students from rural areas who dropping out of school before graduating. The dropout events can be explained through the demand for education. In 2008 Government of Indonesia introduced Bantuan Siswa Miskin program, the Cash Transfers for Poor Students (recently is known as Kartu Indonesia Pintar), in order to reduce numbers of dropouts. The program is mainly to cover students’ indirect costs and is implicitly used to increase students’ demand for education. The objective of this study is to get better understanding on the impact of government’s cash transfers on rural students’ dropout at upper secondary schools in Central Java Province. Primary data was collected from rural areas in all regencies and cities. The likelihood to drop out is estimated using Probit regressions. There are two main findings in this study. First, the result shows that higher education expenditure is significantly increasing the probability of rural students to drop out. Second, it is evidence that government’s cash transfers significantly diminish the rural students’ likelihood of dropping out. Based on the findings, it is suggested the Government of Indonesia must reduce education costs and the government also should expand the number of cash transfers for poor rural students.