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Journal : AGRIMOR

Dampak Pandemi COVID-19 terhadap Kinerja Nilai Ekspor Pertanian Indonesia Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Agustinus Nubatonis
AGRIMOR Vol 5 No 4 (2020): AGRIMOR - October 2020
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/ag.v5i4.1166

Abstract

The coronavirus pandemic has put the world in a state of crisis, both a health crisis and an economic crisis. As a result of this virus, trade between countries is hampered, due to a lockdown (large-scale social restrictions) which results in slow economic growth. Export is one of the international trade activities carried out by Indonesia. The agricultural sector contributes 2.3% of Indonesia's total exports, however, the agricultural sector is a sector that has survived a crisis. Seeing the situation in 2020, which has seen the COVID-19 pandemic in the last few months, it is interesting to observe whether the global crisis caused by COVID-19 has made a significant change in the performance of the export value of Indonesian agricultural products. The data used are monthly data analyzed using multiple linear regression, with the dependent variable being the value of Indonesian agricultural exports, while the independent variables are national gross domestic income, the exchange rate of the rupiah against the United States dollar, the volume of Indonesian exports, the volume of Indonesian agricultural exports, and COVID -19 as a dummy variable. The result is, the variables that have a significant effect on the value of Indonesian agricultural exports are the volume of Indonesian exports and the volume of Indonesian agricultural exports, while other variables do not have a significant effect.
Pengaruh Krisis terhadap Nilai Ekspor Kakao Indonesia di Pasar Internasional Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Melkisedik Bukifan; Yohanes Pebrian Vianney Mambur; Boanerges Putra Sipayung
AGRIMOR Vol 8 No 2 (2023): AGRIMOR - April 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/ag.v8i2.1953

Abstract

Cocoa is one of the important commodities in the plantation industry which is marketed in international trade, one form of international trade is export. Indonesia's cocoa export destination countries are Malaysia, America, India, China, the Netherlands, Germany, and Australia. Export activities are usually influenced by the country's economic conditions, so that the global crises in 1998, 2008, 2011, and 2020 are thought to have affected Indonesia's cocoa exports. This study uses a gravity model approach to examine the impact of the crisis on cocoa export value. The variables used in this study are the value of Indonesia's cocoa exports (EXVAL) and GDP per capita (GDPCAP), the exchange rate of the destination country's currency against the US dollar (ER), and economic distance as the dependent variable. (ECODIST) and crisis (CRISIS) as the independent variable. The emergency variable is used as a dummy variable. The results of the analysis of the gravity regression model show that all independent variables are significantly based on the t-test with the coefficient values of GDPCAP, ER, ECODIST, and CRISIS of 2.10, 2.28, –0.71, and 0.28 with an R2 value of 82%. . The crisis variable has a positive effect on the value of Indonesia's cocoa exports, so that the crisis does not weaken the development of Indonesia's cocoa exports.