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All Journal Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi AGRIMOR Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Paspalum: Jurnal Ilmiah Pertanian Agriprimatech Bakti Cendana: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Agriuma Jurnal Pengabdian UNDIKMA MAHATANI: Jurnal Agribisnis (Agribusiness and Agricultural Economics Journal) Agroteksos Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Nusantara AGRIC
Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi
Department Of Agribusiness, Faculty Of Agriculture, Timor University
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model Fadhlan Zuhdi; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Khoiru Rizqy Rambe
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 12, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456

Abstract

Colombian coffee exports influence Indonesian coffee exports in the short term, so this study aims to forecast the export volume of Indonesian and Colombian coffee in the future. The study used time-series data from 2001 to 2021, further analyzed using the ARIMA model. Based on the projection, Indonesian coffee export is projected to increase with an average value of 1.14 percent and a potential increase of 1.79 percent. However, this result still needed to reach the desired value since the projected coffee export of Indonesia in 2025 only reached 429 172 tons, or lower than the export quantity of Colombian coffee in 2011. This finding indicated that Indonesian coffee export tended to increase stagnantly and was considered low compared to the increasing export of Colombian coffee.JEL Classification: C22, C53, E37, F17, Q13How to Cite:Zuhdi, F., Maulana A. S., & Rambe, K. R. (2023). Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 57-68. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456.
Pengaruh Krisis terhadap Nilai Ekspor Kakao Indonesia di Pasar Internasional Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Melkisedik Bukifan; Yohanes Pebrian Vianney Mambur; Boanerges Putra Sipayung
AGRIMOR Vol 8 No 2 (2023): AGRIMOR - April 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/ag.v8i2.1953

Abstract

Cocoa is one of the important commodities in the plantation industry which is marketed in international trade, one form of international trade is export. Indonesia's cocoa export destination countries are Malaysia, America, India, China, the Netherlands, Germany, and Australia. Export activities are usually influenced by the country's economic conditions, so that the global crises in 1998, 2008, 2011, and 2020 are thought to have affected Indonesia's cocoa exports. This study uses a gravity model approach to examine the impact of the crisis on cocoa export value. The variables used in this study are the value of Indonesia's cocoa exports (EXVAL) and GDP per capita (GDPCAP), the exchange rate of the destination country's currency against the US dollar (ER), and economic distance as the dependent variable. (ECODIST) and crisis (CRISIS) as the independent variable. The emergency variable is used as a dummy variable. The results of the analysis of the gravity regression model show that all independent variables are significantly based on the t-test with the coefficient values of GDPCAP, ER, ECODIST, and CRISIS of 2.10, 2.28, –0.71, and 0.28 with an R2 value of 82%. . The crisis variable has a positive effect on the value of Indonesia's cocoa exports, so that the crisis does not weaken the development of Indonesia's cocoa exports.
Fiscal Decentralization and Farmer Empowerment in Indonesia-Timor Leste Border: A Case Study of Village Fund Boanerges Putra Sipayung; Umbu Joka; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Dennis Mark Onuigbo
Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture Vol 38, No 2 (2023): October
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/carakatani.v38i2.67578

Abstract

Farmers in the border areas often face challenges due to a lack of facilities and sufficient infrastructure. As a nation that shares borders with several countries, the Indonesian government aims to facilitate economic growth in these areas. One viable approach to achieve this objective is through the effective allocation of village funds. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors influencing the empowerment of farmers in the Indonesia-Timor Leste border using village funds. Data were collected using a survey method from 325 household heads, who served as respondents. The collected data were analyzed using the Structure Equation Model-Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). The results showed that human, social and physical capital owned by farmers on the Indonesia-Timor Leste border had an indirect effect on the strength of empowerment programs funded through village funds. This indicated that apart from implementing policies, the community must also be involved in the planning and implementation of various programs. Furthermore, the central or regional government must play an active role during the designing stages as well as involve farmers and experts in the empowerment process in the Indonesia-Timor Leste border areas.
DAYA SAING EKSPOR REMPAH INDONESIA KE EUROPEAN UNION-15 Fadhlan Zuhdi; Lola Rahmadona; Achmad S Maulana
Agric Vol. 32 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian dan Bisnis, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24246/agric.2020.v32.i2.p139-162

Abstract

Komoditas rempah sejak lama telah menjadi andalan ekspor Indonesia ke dunia. Oleh sebab itu, ekspor komoditas rempah perlu dijaga dan ditingkatkan nilainya agar dapat menyeimbangkan neraca perdagangan Indonesia. Potensi European Union 15 sebagai pasar ekspor rempah Indonesia yang besar, maka ekspor komoditas rempah harus ditingkatkan. Situasi yang memburuk saat ini (perang dagang Tiongkok-Amerika Serikat) telah membuat urgency ekspor Indonesia ke negara lain menjadi meningkat. Secara spesifik penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat perkembangan ekspor rempah-rempah Indonesia ke European Union 15 secara komparatif. Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) dan Trade Balance Index (TBI) digunakan untuk menetukan posisi daya saing ekspor komoditas rempah-rempah di European Union 15. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa nilai RCA untuk pala, lada, dan cengkeh 1 sehingga komoditas tersebut merupakan komoditas rempah yang memiliki daya saing dan sudah berada dalam tahap kematangan karena memiliki TBI > 0.8. Jahe tidak memiliki daya saing dan masih berada dalam tahap pertumbuhan ekspor. Berdasarkan RSCA, variasi daya saing rempah pala, lada, dan cengkeh selama periode 2008 – 2018 memiliki nilai > 0 yang artinya memiliki daya saing komparatif, sedangkan untuk jahe nilainya < 0 sehingga jahe tidak memiliki daya saing komparatif. Upaya yang dapat ditempuh untuk semakin meningkatkan daya saing ekspor di pasar global adalah dengan mengembangkan produksi dan produktivitas agar dapat melakukan ekspor ke pasar potensial lainnya seperti ke benua Amerika dan Asia.
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF LOCAL FRUIT SELLING BUSINESSES IN THE SAENAM VILLAGE AND SALLU VILLAGE NORTH CENTRAL TIMOR Werenfridus Taena; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Boanerges P Sipayung; Umbu Joka
Agric Vol. 34 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian dan Bisnis, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24246/agric.2022.v34.i2.p275-286

Abstract

East Nusa Tenggara Province has land that tends to be dry, with several superior local fruit commodities such as oranges, mangoes, avocados, and jackfruit. One of the local fruit-producing centers in East Nusa Tenggara is North Central Timor (TTU) Regency. Most of the fruit needs in TTU Regency are supplied from West Miomaffo District, especially Saenam Village. Saenam Village produces 222 Kg of local fruit while Sallu Village is 345 Kg, but the sales volume value of Saenam Village is higher than Sallu Village with a difference of Rp. 1,000,000. Based on these conditions, this study focuses on the comparison of local fruit farming businesses in Saenam Village and Sallu Village. The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the sales volume, relative market share level, and business position of local fruit commodities by applying BCG analysis. The results showed that the fruit business in Saenam Village had a total sales volume in 2018 of IDR 2,151,313, 2019 of IDR 1,915,296, and 2020 of IDR 2,175,685. Meanwhile, Sallu Village has a total sales in 2018 of Rp 1,009,821, 2019 Rp 899,584, and 2020 Rp 887,281. The market growth rate and relative market share are calculated based on the total sales volume. The results of the BCG analysis show that Saenam Village is in the star quadrant, with a market growth rate of 1.31% and a relative market share level of 2.57. Sallu Village has a market growth rate of -15.25% and a relative market share rate of 0.4. This value explains that the fruit products of Sallu Village are in the dog quadrant. The strategy that needs to be carried out by farmers in Saenam Village is to expand fruit marketing. The strategy that can be applied by farmers in Sallu Village is to replace fruit gardens with vegetable gardens in order to increase income and use land more optimally.
DAYA SAING EKSPOR PRODUK OLAHAN KAKAO INDONESIA DI NEGARA MALAYSIA PADA MASA PANDEMI COVID-19 Ermina Anita Seran; Werenfridus Taena; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Boanerges Putra Sipayung
Agriprimatech Vol. 7 No. 1 (2023): Agriprimatech
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Fakultas Agro Teknologi Universitas Prima Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34012/agriprimatech.v7i1.4182

Abstract

Processed cocoa products were a source of foreign exchange for Indonesia both before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the pandemic. Malaysia is a neighboring country and Indonesia's strategic trading partner in cocoa and processed exports. This study analyzes export competitiveness and competitiveness factors of Indonesian processed cocoa products in Malaysia. This study uses annual time series data from 2005-2022. This research method uses descriptive quantitative analysis and gravity model analysis. The research results show that there has been a decline in the competitiveness of Indonesian processed cocoa products in Malaysia. The competitiveness of cocoa paste decreased by more than 50%. Domestic cocoa production, Malaysian GDP, and Indonesian GDP influence the value of Indonesian cocoa butter exports in Malaysia. Cocoa butter has shown an increase in export value during the Covid-19 pandemic. Malaysia's GDP and the COVID-19 pandemic have influenced the value of Indonesian cocoa paste exports to Malaysia. Cocoa paste has competitiveness both comparatively and competitively in the Malaysian market.
Penerapan Pekarangan Pangan Lestari Melalui Vertikultur Pada KWT Sejati Kelurahan Aplasi, Nusa Tenggara Timur Wilda Lumban Tobing*; Hyldegardis Naisali; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Boanerges Putra Sipayung; Kristoforus Wilson Kia; Deseriana Bria; Misail Epainetus Silla; Veronika Sofia Jaquelin Talan
Dinamisia : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Lancang Kuning

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/dinamisia.v8i1.16492

Abstract

Fulfillment of food can be done through the implementation of Sustainable Food Yards. KWT Sejati has difficulty providing food throughout the year. The yard owned is not productive because it has dry land biophysics with a dry climate. This condition is also a factor that influences people's food status (food insecurity). Management of dry land as agricultural land requires the adoption of technology. Verticulture technology can be used as an alternative to meet food needs in Karing. This activity aims to apply P2L to KWT Sejati through verticulture as a technology for cultivating vegetables on dry land. The method for implementing this activity is counseling and demonstration using a learning by doing system. The results of this activity provide many benefits to KWT Sejati, including: ease in managing dry land as agricultural land, being able to engineer planting media to improve soil quality, and producing higher production and income compared to using a raised bed system, and has the potential to overcome food insecurity conditions
Analisis Situasi Pemasaran Sebagai Strategi Untuk Meningkatkan Volume Nilai Penjualan Ayam Broiler Di Kabupaten Belu Ermelinda L. Nahak; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Agustinus Nubatonis; Boanerges P. Sipayung
Paspalum: Jurnal Ilmiah Pertanian Vol. 12 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Universitas Winaya Mukti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35138/paspalum.v12i1.676

Abstract

Ayam broiler/pedaging merupakan jenis ternak unggas yang memilki potensi untuk di budidayakan. Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui volume nilai penjualan dan Strategi pemasaran, pangsa pasar dan situasi pemasaran ayam Broiler di PT. Mitra Sinar Jaya Atambua Kabupaten Belu. Penelitian ini dilaksanakan di PT. Mitra Sinar Jaya Atambua pada bulan januari 2023 sampai selesai. Pada penelitian ini populasi dan sampel diambil secara purposive sampling (sengaja) sehingga sampel pada penelitian ini yaitu PT. Mitra Sinar Jaya Atambua karena penelitian menggunakan studi kasus. Data diambil terdiri dari data primer dan data sekunder. Metode analisis data yang digunakan yaitu analisis regresi linear berganda dan analisis Boston Consulting Group (BCG). Berdasarkan hasil analisis regresi linear berganda, diketahui bahwa variabel yang berpengaruh nyata pada volume nilai penjualan ayam broiler di PT. MSJ adalah produksi ayam, harga barang substitusi, sedangkan yang tidak berpengaruh nyata adalah jumlah penduduk, pendapatan penduduk dan harga pakan. Analysis Boston Consulting Group (BCG) menunjukan bahwa tahun 2019, 2020, dan 2022 posisi pasar berada pada kuadran cash cow dimana kuadran ini memiliki pangsa pasar relatif tinggi dan tingkat pertumbuhan pasar yang lambat. Tahun 2021 posisi produk pada perusahaan berada pada kuadran star dimana usaha ayam memiliki tingkat pertumbuhan pasar dan pangsa pasar relatif yang tinggi.
Co-Authors Adolfianus Nino Bria, Deseriana Carles Y.A Nalle Carolus Emerik Kato Dennis Mark Onuigbo Elisabeth Ananda Putri Alupan Elviani Seran Ermelinda L. Nahak Ermina Anita Seran Fadhlan Zuhdi Fadhlan Zuhdi Hyldegardis Naisali Khoiru Rizqy Rambe Kristoforus Wilson Kia Kristoforus Wilson Kia Lambertus Nesi Bria Lola Rahmadona Mardit N. Nalle Maria Apriana Manehat Marianus Asa Melkisedik Bukifan Misail Epainetus Silla Nola Windirah Nubatonis, Agustinus Ody W.Matoneng Primus Ena Kaet Rita Indrasti Rofina K. Besa Sipayung, Boanerges Putra Siprianus Septian Manek Umbu Joka Veronika Sofia Jaquelin Talan Werenfridus Taena Werenfridus Taena Wilda Lumban Tobing Yohanes P. V. Mambur Yohanes Pebrian Vianney Mambur