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Wanto, Anjar

STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Indonesia.

Author-ID : 621424

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Performance Analysis and Model Determination for Forecasting Aluminum Imports Using the Powell-Beale Algorithm Nur Arminarahmah; Syafrika Deni Rizki; Okta Andrica Putra; Anjar Wanto
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 5, No 5 (2022): February
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Aluminum is one of the most important metals for the industrial world, but currently, aluminum is scarce due to a shortage of electricity, which makes manufacturers limit their production. Therefore, to overcome this scarcity, the government imports aluminum. Imports that are carried out continuously will more or less affect the wheels of the economy in this country. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the value of aluminum imports in the future so that later the demand for aluminum in Indonesia is stable and not too excessive in importing. The prediction method used is the Powell-Beale algorithm, which is one of the most commonly used artificial neural network methods for data prediction. This paper does not discuss the prediction results. Still, it discusses the ability of the Powell-Beale algorithm to make predictions based on imported Aluminum datasets obtained from the Central Statistics Agency. The research data used is aluminum import data by the leading country of origin from 2013-to 2020. A network architecture model will be formed and determined based on this data, including 3-15-1, 3-20-1, and 3-25-1. From these five models, after training and testing, the results show that the best architectural model is 3-20-1 with an MSE value of 0,03010927, the lowest among the other four models. So it can be concluded that the model can be used to predict aluminum imports.

Analysis of Artificial Neural Network Accuracy Using Backpropagation Algorithm In Predicting Process (Forecasting) Sandy Putra Siregar; Anjar Wanto
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 1, No 1 (2017): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Artificial Neural Networks are a computational paradigm formed based on the neural structure of intelligent organisms to gain better knowledge. Artificial neural networks are often used for various computing purposes. One of them is for prediction (forecasting) data. The type of artificial neural network that is often used for prediction is the artificial neural network backpropagation because the backpropagation algorithm is able to learn from previous data and recognize the data pattern. So from this pattern backpropagation able to analyze and predict what will happen in the future. In this study, the data to be predicted is Human Development Index data from 2011 to 2015. Data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics of North Sumatra. This research uses 5 architectural models: 3-8-1, 3-18-1, 3-28-1, 3-16-1 and 3-48-1. From the 5 models of this architecture, the best accuracy is obtained from the architectural model 3-48-1 with 100% accuracy rate, with the epoch of 5480 iterations and MSE 0.0006386600 with error level 0.001 to 0.05. Thus, backpropagation algorithm using 3-48-1 model is good enough when used for data prediction.

Architectural Model of Backpropagation ANN for Prediction of Population-Based on Sub-Districts in Pematangsiantar City Marseba Situmorang; Anjar Wanto; Zulaini Masruro Nasution
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 3, No 1 (2019): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

A population is a group of individuals who occupy or live in a place or area that interacts with one another. Because the population has a very important role in an area, it is important to make predictions to find out how much the level of increase or descent of the population in an area, especially in Pematangsiantar. Therefore this research was conducted. This study uses population data in 8 Sub-Districts in Pematangsiantar. Data was taken from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Pematangsiantar city in 2011-2017. The method used is the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Backpropagation. These data will be processed into 2 parts namely training data and Testing data. This research will use 5 architectural models namely, 3-25-1, 3-30-1, 3-45-1, 3-54-1 and 3-68-1. From these 5 architectural models, after analysis, models 3-45-1 were chosen as the best models with epoch 553 values, MSE training 0,0001108768, MSE testing 0.0012355953 and an accuracy rate of 88%. The results of this paper are expected to be widely useful, especially for academics as further research material, especially those related to population in Pematangsiantar, because this research is still limited to discussing the level of accuracy, not prediction results.

The Application of Data Mining in Determining Timely Graduation Using the C45 Algorithm Asro Pradipta; Dedy Hartama; Anjar Wanto; Saifullah Saifullah; Jalaluddin Jalaluddin
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 3, No 1 (2019): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Graduating on time is one element of higher education accreditation assessment. In the Strata 1 level, students are declared to graduate on time if they can complete their studies <= eight semesters or four years. BAN-PT sets a timely graduation standard of >= 50%. If the standard is not met, it will reduce the value of accreditation. These problems encourage the Universitas Simalungun Pematangsiantar to conduct evaluations and strategic steps in an effort to increase student graduation rates so that the targets of BAN-PT can be achieved. For this reason it is necessary to know in advance the pattern of students who tend not to graduate on time. In this study, C4.5 Algorithm is proposed to predict student graduation. This algorithm will process student profile datasets totaling 150 data. This dataset has a graduation status label. The value of the label is categorical, that is, right and late. The features or attributes used, namely the name of the student, gender, student status, GPA. The results of the C4.5 algorithm are in the form of a decision tree model that is very easy to analyze. In fact, even by ordinary people. This model will map the patterns of students who have the potential to graduate on time and late.

Use of Binary Sigmoid Function And Linear Identity In Artificial Neural Networks For Forecasting Population Density Anjar Wanto; Agus Perdana Windarto; Dedy Hartama; Iin Parlina
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 1, No 1 (2017): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is often used to solve forecasting cases. As in this study. The artificial neural network used is with backpropagation algorithm. The study focused on cases concerning overcrowding forecasting based District in Simalungun in Indonesia in 2010-2015. The data source comes from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Simalungun Regency. The population density forecasting its future will be processed using backpropagation algorithm focused on binary sigmoid function (logsig) and a linear function of identity (purelin) with 5 network architecture model used the 3-5-1, 3-10-1, 3-5 -10-1, 3-5-15-1 and 3-10-15-1. Results from 5 to architectural models using Neural Networks Backpropagation with binary sigmoid function and identity functions vary greatly, but the best is 3-5-1 models with an accuracy of 94%, MSE, and the epoch 0.0025448 6843 iterations. Thus, the use of binary sigmoid activation function (logsig) and the identity function (purelin) on Backpropagation Neural Networks for forecasting the population density is very good, as evidenced by the high accuracy results achieved.

Implementation of ANN for Prediction of Unemployment Rate Based on Urban Village in 3 Sub-Districts of Pematangsiantar Nuraysah Zamil Purba; Anjar Wanto; Ika Okta Kirana
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 3, No 1 (2019): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Unemployment is a serious social and economic problem faced by the Pematangsiantar City government, high unemployment is also caused by the low education and skills of the workforce. To be able to reduce the number of unemployed, especially in the city of Pematangsiantar, it is necessary to predict the unemployment rate based on urban villages in the three sub-districts of the city of Pematangsiantar, so that the government has a policy so that it can tackle the number of unemployed. The data used in this study are unemployment data based on 19 urban areas from 2013-2017 in 3 districts in Pematangsiantar City. Data sources were obtained from the Pematangsiantar 03 / SS Koramil Office. The research method used is Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network. Data analysis was performed with backpropagation algorithm using Matlab. There are 5 network architecture used, namely 2-35-1, 2-38-1, 2-41-1, 2-43-1, 2-46-1 with the best model is 2-38-1 which produces accuracy by 79%. Thus this model is good enough to be used to predict the unemployment rate based on wards in 3 sub-districts in the city of Pematangsiantar.

Implementation of Data Mining Algorithms for Grouping Poverty Lines by District/City in North Sumatra Mhd Ali Hanafiah; Anjar Wanto
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 3, No 2 (2020): May
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

The poverty line is useful as an economic tool that can be used to measure the poor and consider socio-economic reforms, such as welfare programs and unemployment insurance to reduce poverty. Therefore, this study aims to classify poverty lines according to regencies/cities in North Sumatra Province, so that it is known which districts/cities have high or low poverty lines. The grouping algorithm used is K-Means data mining. By using this algorithm, the data will be grouped into several parts, where the process of implementing K-Means data mining uses Rapid Miner. The data used is the poverty line data by district/city (rupiah/capita/month) in the province of North Sumatra in 2017-2019. Data sourced from the North Sumatra Central Statistics Agency. The grouping is divided into 3 clusters: high category poverty line, medium category poverty line, and the low category poverty line. The results for the high category consisted of 5 districts/cities, the medium category consisted of 18 districts/cities and the medium category consisted of 10 districts/cities. This can provide input and information for the North Sumatra government to further maximize efforts to overcome the poverty line in the area.

Evacuation Planning for Disaster Management by Using The Relaxation Based Algorithm and Route Choice Model Dedy Hartama; Agus Perdana Windarto; Anjar Wanto
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 2, No 1 (2018): November
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Research in the field of disaster management is done by utilizing information and communication technology. Where disaster management is discussed is about evacuation planning issues. The evacuation stage is a very crucial stage in the disaster evacuation process. There have been many methods and algorithms submitted for the evacuation planning process, but no one has directly addressed evacuation planning on dynamic issues concerning time-varying and volume-dependent. This research will use the Relaxation-Based Algorithm combined with the Route Choice Model to produce evacuation models that can be applied to dynamic issues related to time-varying and volume-dependent because some types of disaster will result in damage as time and evacuation paths are volume-dependent so as to adjust to the change in the number of people evacuated. Disaster data that will be used in this research is sourced from Disaster Information Management System sourced from DesInventar. The results of this study are expected to produce an evacuation planning model that can be applied to dynamic problems that take into account the time-varying and volume-dependent aspects.

GRDP Growth Rate Clustering in Surabaya City uses the K-Means Algorithm Nur Ahlina Febriyati; Achmad Daengs GS; Anjar Wanto
IJISTECH (International Journal of Information System and Technology) Vol 3, No 2 (2020): May
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Komputer (STIKOM) Tunas Bangsa

Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) is an indicator used to measure economic performance in a period. GRDP is the amount of added value generated by all business units in a particular area. It can also be said to be the sum of the value of the final goods and services produced by all economic units. Therefore, this study aims to cluster the GRDP Growth Rate according to business fields in the city of Surabaya, so that it is known which sectors have high or low growth. The clustering algorithm used is K-Means. By using this method, the data will b,e grouped into several clusters, where the implementation of the K-Means Clustering process uses the Rapid Miner tools. The data used is the GRDP Growth Rate in Surabaya City by Business Field, 2010-2019 (Percent). The data is divided into 3 clusters: high, medium, and low. The results obtained are nine categories/sectors with high clusters, 5 categories / sectors with medium clusters, and three categories,s / sectors with low clusters. This can be input and information for the Surabaya City government to further maximize efforts to increase the GRDP Growth Rate in the area.

Co-Authors Abdi Rahim Damanik Agung Pratama Agung Wibowo Agung Yusuf Pratama Agus Perdana Windarto Andi Sanggam Sidabutar Arifah Hanum Asro Pradipta Ayu Artika Fardhani Azwar Anas Manurung Azwar Anas Manurung Bahrudi Efendi Damanik Bil Klinton Sihotang Cici Astria Daniel Sitorus Dedi Kusbiantoro Dedi Suhendro Dedi Suhendro Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Deri Setiawan Desi Insani Natalia Simanjuntak Dewi, Rafiqa Dinda Nabila Batubara Edu Wardo Saragih eko hartato Eko Hartato Eko Kurniawan Eko Purwanto Elfin Efendi Eva Desiana Fajar Ramadan Fikri Yatussa’ada Fitri Anggraini Flora Sabarina Napitupulu GS , Achmad Daengs Gumilar Ramadhan Pangaribuan Hartama, Dedy Hartama, Dedy Herlan F Silaban Heru Satria Tambunan Heru Satria Tambunan Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Ihsan Maulana Muhamad Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Purnama Sari Ilham Syahputra Saragih Imelda Asih Rohani Simbolon Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Satria Indra Satria Indri Sriwahyuni Purba Irawan Irawan Irfan Christian Saragih Irfan Sudahri Damani, Irfan Sudahri Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jaya T Hardinata Jaya Tata Hardinata Jonas Rayandi Saragih Jonas Rayandi Saragih Joni Wilson Sitopu Jufriadif Na`am, Jufriadif Juli Wahyuni Khairunnissa Fanny Irnanda Kirana, Ika Okta M Mesran M Safii M. Safii M.Ridwan Lubis Marseba Situmorang Martina Silaban Mesran, Mesran Meychael Adi Putra Hutabarat Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Gading Sadewo Mhd. Billy Sandi Saragih Mhd. Buhari Sibuea Mora Malemta Sitomorang Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Julham Muhammad Julham Muhammad Mahendra Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Syafiq Muhammad Wijaya Nasution, Rizki Alfadillah Nasution, Zulaini Masruro Ni Luh Wiwik Sri Rahayu Ginantra Nur Ahlina Febriyati Nur Arminarahmah Nur Arminarahmah Nuraysah Zamil Purba Nurhayati Nurhayati Okprana, Harly Okta Andrica Putra Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih R Tri Hadi Febriyanto Rahmat W Sembiring Rahmat W. Sembiring Rapianto Sinaga Ratih Puspadini Reza Pratama Rita Mawarni Rizky Khairunnisa Sormin Ronal Watrianthos Roulina Simarmata Roy Chandra Telaumbanua Ruri Eka Pranata S Solikhun S Solikhun S Sumarno Sadewo, Mhd Gading Safruddin Safruddin Saifullah Saifullah Samuel Palentino Sinaga Samuel Palentino Sinaga Sandy Putra Siregar Saputra Ramadani Saragih, Irfan Christian Saragih, Jonas Rayandi Saragih, Mhd. Billy Sandi Sari, Riyani Wulan Sari, Riyani Wulan Sarjon Defit Sigit Anugerah Wardana Silfia Andini Silitonga, Hotmalina Silitonga, Hotmalina Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun, Solikhun Suhada Suhada Suhada Suhada Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sundari Retno Andani Sunil Setti Surya Hendraputra Susi Fitryah Damanik Syafri Maradu Manurung Syafrika Deni Rizki Syahri Ramadhan Tia Imandasari Titin Handayani Sinaga Tri Febri Damayanti Tri Welanda Vasma Vitriani Sianipar Venny Vidya utari Vitri Roma Sari Wida Prima Mustika Widodo Saputra Widya Tri Charisma Gultom Widyasuti, Meilin Widyasuti, Meilin Winanjaya, Riki Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuli Andriani Yuri Widya Paranthy Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulia Almaida Siregar

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Journal : IJISTECH (International Journal Of Information System