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Wanto, Anjar
STIKOM Tunas Bangsa, Pematangsiantar, Indonesia.
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Journal : Jurnas Nasional Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi

 1 
Optimasi Prediksi Dengan Algoritma Backpropagation Dan Conjugate Gradient Beale-Powell Restarts Anjar Wanto
Jurnal Nasional Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Vol 3, No 3 (2017): Desember 2017
Publisher : Jurusan Sistem Informasi, Fakultas Teknologi Informasi, Universitas Andalas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25077/TEKNOSI.v3i3.2017.370-380

Abstract

Optimization of a prediction (forecasting) is very important to do so that the predicted results obtained to be better and quality. In this study, the authors optimize previous research that has been done by the author using backpropagation algorithm. The optimization process will use Conjugate Gradient Beale-Powell Restarts. Data to be predicted is Consumer Price Index data based on health group from Medan Central Bureau of Statistics from 2014 until 2016. Previous research using 8 architectural models, namely: 12-5-1, 12-26-1, 12-29 -1, 12-35-1, 12-40-1, 12-60-1, 12-70-1 and 12-75-1 with best architectural models 12-70-1 with an accuracy of 92%. In contrast to previous research concentrating on finding accuracy using backpropagation, this study will optimize the backpropagation with Conjugate Gradient Beale-Powell Restart, which not only focuses on accuracy but also the convergence of the two algorithms and the translation of predicted results, which is not done in a previous study. This research will use the same architectural model as the previous research and will get the result with the accuracy of 92% with the best architectural model that is 12-70-1 (same as previous research). Thus, this model is good enough for prediction even with different algorithms, since the accuracy of converging backpropagation with Conjugate Gradient Beale-Powell Restarts.
Co-Authors Abdi Rahim Damanik Agung Pratama Agung Wibowo Agung Yusuf Pratama Agus Perdana Windarto Andi Sanggam Sidabutar Arifah Hanum Asro Pradipta Ayu Artika Fardhani Azwar Anas Manurung Azwar Anas Manurung Bahrudi Efendi Damanik Bil Klinton Sihotang Cici Astria Daniel Sitorus Dedi Kusbiantoro Dedi Suhendro Dedi Suhendro Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Dedy Hartama Deri Setiawan Desi Insani Natalia Simanjuntak Dewi, Rafiqa Dinda Nabila Batubara Edu Wardo Saragih eko hartato Eko Hartato Eko Kurniawan Eko Purwanto Elfin Efendi Eva Desiana Fajar Ramadan Fikri Yatussa’ada Fitri Anggraini Flora Sabarina Napitupulu GS , Achmad Daengs Gumilar Ramadhan Pangaribuan Hartama, Dedy Hartama, Dedy Herlan F Silaban Heru Satria Tambunan Heru Satria Tambunan Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Hutasoit, Rahel Adelina Ihsan Maulana Muhamad Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Iin Parlina Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Okta Kirana Ika Purnama Sari Ilham Syahputra Saragih Imelda Asih Rohani Simbolon Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Gunawan Indra Satria Indra Satria Indri Sriwahyuni Purba Irawan Irawan Irfan Christian Saragih Irfan Sudahri Damani, Irfan Sudahri Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jalaluddin Jaya T Hardinata Jaya Tata Hardinata Jonas Rayandi Saragih Jonas Rayandi Saragih Joni Wilson Sitopu Jufriadif Na`am, Jufriadif Juli Wahyuni Khairunnissa Fanny Irnanda Kirana, Ika Okta M Mesran M Safii M. Safii M.Ridwan Lubis Marseba Situmorang Martina Silaban Mesran, Mesran Meychael Adi Putra Hutabarat Mhd Ali Hanafiah Mhd Gading Sadewo Mhd. Billy Sandi Saragih Mhd. Buhari Sibuea Mora Malemta Sitomorang Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Aliyul Amri Muhammad Julham Muhammad Julham Muhammad Mahendra Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Ridwan Lubis Muhammad Syafiq Muhammad Wijaya Nasution, Rizki Alfadillah Nasution, Zulaini Masruro Ni Luh Wiwik Sri Rahayu Ginantra Nur Ahlina Febriyati Nur Arminarahmah Nur Arminarahmah Nuraysah Zamil Purba Nurhayati Nurhayati Okprana, Harly Okta Andrica Putra Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih Poningsih R Tri Hadi Febriyanto Rahmat W Sembiring Rahmat W. Sembiring Rapianto Sinaga Ratih Puspadini Reza Pratama Rita Mawarni Rizky Khairunnisa Sormin Ronal Watrianthos Roulina Simarmata Roy Chandra Telaumbanua Ruri Eka Pranata S Solikhun S Solikhun S Sumarno Sadewo, Mhd Gading Safruddin Safruddin Saifullah Saifullah Samuel Palentino Sinaga Samuel Palentino Sinaga Sandy Putra Siregar Saputra Ramadani Saragih, Irfan Christian Saragih, Jonas Rayandi Saragih, Mhd. Billy Sandi Sari, Riyani Wulan Sari, Riyani Wulan Sarjon Defit Sigit Anugerah Wardana Silfia Andini Silitonga, Hotmalina Silitonga, Hotmalina Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun Solikhun, Solikhun Suhada Suhada Suhada Suhada Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sumarno Sundari Retno Andani Sunil Setti Surya Hendraputra Susi Fitryah Damanik Syafri Maradu Manurung Syafrika Deni Rizki Syahri Ramadhan Tia Imandasari Titin Handayani Sinaga Tri Febri Damayanti Tri Welanda Vasma Vitriani Sianipar Venny Vidya utari Vitri Roma Sari Wida Prima Mustika Widodo Saputra Widya Tri Charisma Gultom Widyasuti, Meilin Widyasuti, Meilin Winanjaya, Riki Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuli Andriani Yuri Widya Paranthy Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulaini Masruro Nasution Zulia Almaida Siregar