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Isnaini Harahap
Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Projection Analysis of Economic Development in Indonesia in the Perspective of Islamic Economy Using the Vecm Model Maulidina Raseuky; Isnaini Harahap; Fauzi Arif Lubis
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 6 No 2 (2023): Sharia Economic: July, 2023
Publisher : Sharia Economics Department Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim, Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v6i2.3736

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to analyze how inflation, unemployment, and government expenditure affect economic growth in Indonesia in the 2000-2022 period. To project the economy in Indonesia in the short term (next 10 years) and in the long term (next 20 years). This type of research uses quantitative methods. The data used are secondary data sourced from the official website of SEKI-BI, the Central Bureau of Statistics, the World Bank, and SIMREG (Regional Basic Data Management and Information System) from 1990 to 2022 so that the number of samples in this study was 128 samples using a purposive sampling technique to determine information. While technical data analysis uses Vector Autoregressive Analysis (VAR) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Based on the results of the Impulse Response Function, we can see that the shock resulted from the previous period's GDP, the GDP Deflator, TPT and GE were very volatile and unstable in the short term, the biggest shock was found in the early period of year 1 to year 20, then the shock subsides from the mid to late period (25th year to 50th year), in the final period the shocks are still starting to stabilize.
Co-Authors Ade Irma Yukyta Ilham Ahmad Fuadi Ahmad Fuadi Tanjung Ahmad Mu'arif Pohan Ahmad Qorib Aida Ulviani Nst Aminah Lubis Anriza Witi Nasution Apprila Natasya Br Surbakti Arif Muhammad Tanjung Arnadila Dwi Syahputri Arsyadona Arsyadona Asmuni Asmuni Asmuni Asmuni Atika Atika Atika Atika Azhari Akmal Tarigan Basmaida Waty Tambusay Boy Uli Kirana Situmorang Chairina Chairina Chairina Chairina Chuzaimah Batubara Cindy Clara Afifah Didik Gunawan Dina Anzani Dita Zakia Rahmah Siahaan Eli Sugiarto Elizar Sinambela Ella Ariska Eni Saputri Ernida Siregar Fadhillah Insani Faizatun Nisa Farah Indah Azhari Fatma Wati Fauzi Arif Lubis Fitrianingsih Fitrianingsih Frida Yanti Sirait Hana Ayunda Purba Harahap, Muhammad Ikhsan Harahap, Pangeran Haura Hazima Hendra Hendra Hijja Mardhiya Nasution Hus Diana I Ketut Suada Ihsaniyah Limbong Ika Darma Yuni Ika Darma Yuni Ika Ramadhani Panjaitan Imsar Imsar Indra Mualim Hasibuan Ismi Khoiriah Hasibuan Jihan Karina Putri Juliana Nasution Khairina Tambunan Khairina Tambunan Lenny Menara Sari Saragih Lia Vebrina Siregar Lisa Anggi Nauli Siregar M Mailin M Ridwan M, Ridwan M. Rio Fani Marliyah Marlya Fatira AK Marwah Auliyani Marzuti Isra Maulida Marpaung Maulidina Raseuky Melisa Syafitri Amalia Mhd Primadona Mhd. Syukur Sihombing Muhammad Adam Muhammad Arfan Harahap Muhammad Ikhsan Harahap Muhammad Munawir Pohan Muhammad Ridwan Muhammad Ridwan Muhammad Satrya Mutthaqin Muhammad Syahbudi Muhammad Yafiz Muhammad Yusuf Mulyana Fitri Mustopa Kamal Rokan Nabil Shawab Nasution, Annio Indah Lestari Nindya Azzahra Novita Sari Nur Ahmadi Bi Rahmani Nur Nafisah NURHALIMAH LUBIS Nurhayati Nurhayati Nurul Annisa Nurul Rafiqoh Lubis Pangeran Harahap Patma Wati Putri Nandita Rafika Chudriana putri Rafli Maulana Lubis Rahmad Azahar Siregar Rahmat Daim Harahap Rahmat Daim Harahap Rahmi Syahriza Raju Adha Raju Adha Rani Febriyanni Reni Dwijaya Reni Hermila Hasibuan Ria Armayani Hasibuan Ridho Erianto Rika Surianto Zalukhu Rika Utari Rizka Adlia Yuannisa Rizka Adlia Yuannisa Rizka Nasution Rizka Nasution Rodhiatul Aslamah Meuraxa Salisa Amini Samrin Samrin Saparuddin Harahap Saparuddin Siregar SAPARUDDIN SIREGAR Saprinal Manarung Saragih, Fitriani Sari Purnama Zein Lubis SARWOTO SARWOTO Satrya Mutthaqin Shabri Abdul Madjid Siti Kadariah Siti Marpuah Siti Rama Hasibuan Sri Cahyanti Sri Indah Pertiwi Sri Nurul Hasanah sri sudiarti Sri Sudiarti Suherman Saragih Sukiman Sukiman Syahrul Amsari Tambunan, Khairina Tazkia Ayu Alharani.YS Tsamara Balqis Tsamara Balqis Ummu Khoirotun Nisfah Wahyu Syarvina Wahyu Syarvina Wahyu Syarvina Wahyuni Br. Nasution Windu Anggara Windu Anggara Wulan Dayu Yenni Samri Juliati Nasution Yenni Samri Juliati Nst Yenni Samri Nasution Zuhrinal M. Nawawi