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Staf Pengajar Departemen Ekonomi Sumberdaya Dan Lingkungan, Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor
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Dampak Kenaikan Harga Minyak Bumi terhadap Ketersediaan Minyak Goreng Sawit Domestik Hartoyo, Sri; Intan K.P., Eka; Novindra, Novindra; Hastuty, Hastuty
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 11, No 2 (2011): Januari
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEUI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the impact of rising fossil fuel prices on the increasing impact on the demand of alternative fuels (biofuels), and its impact on food availability in Indonesia. An econometric model using simultaneous equations is employed. An increase in world crude oil price for 0,192 percent caused the price of real Indonesian palm oil export raised by 10,64 percent. Consequently, a larger biodiesel production is needed to meet their crease of world´s consumer demand for biodiesel. Also, with the increase in real export price of Indonesian palm oil, it will encourage palm oil producers to push their export volume. Indonesian palm oil exporter expected to increase by 6,37 percent to finally push the domestic CPO price increase for 1,85 percent. Rising domestic oil prices are causing oil demand in the palm oil industry to decline by 0,49 percent and in the end resulting in the decline of palm oil production by 1,56 percent.
Impacts of Government and Household Expenditure on Human Development Index Sulistyowati, Niken; Sinaga, Bonar Marulitua; Novindra, Novindra
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 10, No 2 (2017): September 2017
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v10i2.11305

Abstract

The objective of this reseach are to: (1) analyze the factors affecting human development index and household expenditures for health, education and others, (2) predict the impacts of government expenditure policy in the field of education, health, and infrastructure on human development index in Central Java.  The model was built using econometric approach in the form of a system of simultaneous equations, including five blocks i.e. government's revenue, expenditures, input, output, and performance. The system of simultaneous equations consisted of 26 equations (19 structural equations and 7 identity equations). The estimation method used Two Stage Least Squares with SYSLIN procedure. Prediction simulation used the stepwise Autoregressive method. The model simulation used Newton's method and SIMNLIN procedure. The results of policy simulation concludes that the combination of the increase in government expenditure for education and infrastructure lead to better performance in increasing income per capita, disposable income and HDI compared to the combination of the policy of the increase in government expenditure for education and in both municipalities and district, but municipalities receive greatest impact compared to the district.
Dampak Kenaikan Harga Minyak Bumi terhadap Ketersediaan Minyak Goreng Sawit Domestik Hartoyo, Sri; Intan K.P., Eka; Novindra, Novindra; Hastuty, Hastuty
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 11 No 2 (2011): Januari
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEB UI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (189.225 KB) | DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v11i2.188

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the impact of rising fossil fuel prices on the increasing impact on the demand of alternative fuels (biofuels), and its impact on food availability in Indonesia. An econometric model using simultaneous equations is employed. An increase in world crude oil price for 0,192 percent caused the price of real Indonesian palm oil export raised by 10,64 percent. Consequently, a larger biodiesel production is needed to meet their crease of world's consumer demand for biodiesel. Also, with the increase in real export price of Indonesian palm oil, it will encourage palm oil producers to push their export volume. Indonesian palm oil exporter expected to increase by 6,37 percent to finally push the domestic CPO price increase for 1,85 percent. Rising domestic oil prices are causing oil demand in the palm oil industry to decline by 0,49 percent and in the end resulting in the decline of palm oil production by 1,56 percent.
Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pembelian Petani Gabah terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani: Suatu Simulasi Putri, Eka Intan Kumala; Novindra, Novindra; Nuva, Nuva
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol 13 No 2 (2013): Januari
Publisher : Department of Economics-FEB UI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (542.222 KB) | DOI: 10.21002/jepi.v13i2.490

Abstract

To control supply and demand rice and increase income to farmer, Government assigned a rice purchasing policy. This study apply 2SLS model with time series data 1971--2009 to simulate and forecast the impact of rice purchasing policy on farmer welfare. The responses of rice real price at farmers' level towards the changes of real price of government purchases and rice production is elastic in the long term. Demand of rice is signicantly in uenced by the price of rice, population, and demand for rice at t-1. The increasing of rice purchasing price (HPP) on grain at 9.54% and 15% lead to an increasing of farmer's surplus IDR163,512,308,700 and IDR257,292,128,790.AbstrakGuna mengontrol keseimbangan konsumsi beras dengan produksi padi dan meningkatkan pendapatan petani, pemerintah Indonesia menetapkan kebijakan Harga Pembelian Padi (HPP). Studi ini melihat dampak kebijakan HPP terhadap kesejahteraan petani dilakukan melalui simulasi peramalan dengan Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) data time series periode 1971--2009. Secara ekonomi, respons harga riil gabah petani terhadap perubahan HPP dan produksi padi bersifat elastis dalam jangka panjang. Permintaan beras dipengaruhi harga beras, jumlah penduduk, dan permintaan beras t-1. Simulasi peramalan terhadap peningkatan HPP gabah 9,54% dan 15% menyebabkan surplus petani meningkat masing-masing Rp163.512.308.700,- dan Rp257.292.128.790,-.
Analisis Ekonomi Pengusaha Tempe dalam Menghadapi Kenaikan Harga Kedelai Impor di Kelurahan Semper, Jakarta Utara Naelis Naelis; Novindra Novindra
Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia (Journal of Indonesian Agribusiness) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2015): Desember 2015 (Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia)
Publisher : Departmen of Agribusiness, Economics and Management Faculty, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jai.2015.3.2.97-112

Abstract

Soybean is one of the important agriculture commodities in Indonesia after rice and corn. The increasing domestic soybean consumption exceed its production. To fulfill domestic needs, Indonesia import the soybean. One of the industries that have a dependent to the imported soybeans is Tempe production. The rising prices of imported soybean caused the increasing price of production factor and affecting the revenue of Tempe entrepreneur. DKI Jakarta is one of the provinces that have a large population of Tempe industries and use the imported soybean as a raw material of its production. One of the regions is Semper, North Jakarta. The result of estimation factors that influenced the Tempe production is the amount of soybeans (kg/production process). The total cost of Tempe production is increasing 19,80 percent and the cash cost is increasing 19,89 percent. The revenue of the cash cost and total cost is decreasing 53,62 percent and 54,04 percent. The amount of R/C ratio upon the total cost after the rising prices of soybean is 1,19. The activity of Tempe production is still giving revenue although there is rising prices of the soybean because the revenue is positive and the amount of R/C ratio is more than one.
ANALISIS LAND RENT DAN DAYA SAING PERTANIAN PADI ORGANIK DI KABUPATEN TASIKMALAYA Asti Istiqomah; Nindyantoro Nindyantoro; Novindra Novindra
Journal of Agriculture, Resource and Environmental Economics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2019): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN SUMBERDAYA DAN LINGKUNGAN
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (643.58 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jaree.v2i1.25929

Abstract

Konversi lahan pertanian menjadi lahan non pertanian merupakan ancaman nyata terhadap ketahanan pangan terutama bagi daerah penghasil pangan di Jawa Barat. Konversi lahan terjadi pada umumnya disebabkan land rent sektor pertanian rendah secara relatif dibanding dengan sektor lain seperti industri maupun perumahan. Pemerintah telah mengupayakan pencegahan konversi lahan pertanian melalui undang-undang lahan pertanian berkelanjutan. Kasus sistem pertanian padi organik yang diterapkan di Kabupaten Tasikmalaya merupakan praktek terbaik (best practices) bagaimana upaya pemerintah daerah meningkatkan land rent sektor pertanian melalui introduksi teknologi tesebut. Tingkat penerapan sistem pertanian organik di Tasikmalaya pada tahun 2012 sebesar 21% dari total luas lahan sawah yang tersedia yaitu 49.500 hektar. Berdasarkan hasil analisis, diperoleh besarnya land rent padi organik per satu musim tanam per hektar adalah Rp 15.348.317 atau Rp 46.044.951 per tahun. Nilai Rasio Sumberdaya Domestik (DRC), menunjukkan bahwa usahatani padi organik yang dilakukan oleh petani telah efisien dan mempunyai keunggulan komparatif serta mampu bertahan tanpa bantuan atau intervensi pemerintah.
DAMPAK BANTUAN PENANGGULANGAN/PENGENTASAN KEMISKINAN TERHADAP PRODUKSI, PENDAPATAN DAN KESEJAHTERAAN RUMAHTANGGA PETANI Novindra Novindra; Bonar M Sinaga; Sri Hartoyo; Bernard B. deRosari; Hastuti Hastuti; Ferdy Adif I. Fallo; Dea Amanda
Journal of Agriculture, Resource and Environmental Economics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2019): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN SUMBERDAYA DAN LINGKUNGAN
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (640.988 KB) | DOI: 10.29244/jaree.v2i1.25977

Abstract

Program bantuan penanggulangan/pengentasan kemiskinan bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan masyarakat di pedesaan, menggunakan instrumen peningkatan produksi dan daya beli (pengeluaran) untuk meningkatkan kesejahteraan rumahtangga. Tujuan penelitian: (1) mengidentifikasi sumber, jenis, jumlah bantuan penanggulangan/pengentasan kemiskinan yang diterima oleh rumahtangga petani, (2) menganalisis biaya, penerimaan, dan pendapatan usahatani, (3) menganalisis pendapatan dan pengeluaran (indikator kesejahteraan) rumahtangga petani. Penelitian di Kabupaten Timor Tengah Selatan (Desa Kualin dan Nulle) dan Kabupaten Kupang (Desa Ponain dan Tesabela) Provinsi NTT yang ditentukan secara purposive karena merupakan daerah sentra populasi sapi dan rumahtangga penerima skim kredit dan bantuan modal. Sumber kredit yang diterima rumahtangga petani berasal dari bank (umum dan non umum) dan bantuan modal dari pemerintah (pusat dan daerah) dan non pemerintah. Nilai kredit dan bantuan modal yang diterima rumahtangga petani tertinggi di Desa Tesabela namun alokasinya untuk biaya usahatani terendah. Pendapatan usahatani tertinggi di Desa Kualin yang terutama bersumber dari pendapatan usaha ternak (44%), sedangkan total pendapatan rumahtangga petani tertinggi di Desa Ponain terutama bersumber dari pendapatan usaha non pertanian. Total Pengeluaran rumahtangga (kesejahteraan) tertinggi di Desa Tesabela terutama alokasi untuk pengeluaran investasi (49%), sedangkan Desa Kualin total pengeluaran rumahtangga terendah tetapi alokasi untuk pengeluaran konsumsi tertinggi (51%).
DAMPAK PERUBAHAN PAJAK IMPOR INDIA DAN KAPASITAS PRODUKSI INDUSTRI HILIR MINYAK SAWIT MENTAH INDONESIA TERHADAP DAYA SAING DAN PENERIMAAN DEVISA INDONESIA Novindra; Bonar M. Sinaga; Sri Hartoyo; Erwidodo
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan Vol 15 No 1 (2021):
Publisher : Trade Analysis and Development Agency, Ministry of Trade of Republic of Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30908/bilp.v15i1.415

Abstract

Abstrak India meningkatkan pajak impor CPO menyebabkan ekspor CPO Indonesia turun sehingga penerimaan devisa dari ekspor CPO juga menurun. Indonesia seharusnya tidak terus bergantung pada devisa dari ekspor CPO, apalagi Indonesia masih mengimpor produk turunan CPO. Indonesia harus terus menumbuhkembangkan industri hilir CPO yang lebih besar menghasilkan nilai tambah dan devisa. Oleh karena itu, perlu kebijakan pemerintah yang tepat guna mendukung hilirisasi industri CPO. Artikel ini bertujuan untuk: (1) menganalisis faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi impor CPO India; harga ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India; harga domestik CPO dan permintaan CPO oleh industri minyak goreng sawit, margarin, dan sabun; dan (2) mengevaluasi dampak peningkatan pajak impor CPO India dan kapasitas produksi industri hilir CPO terhadap daya saing ekspor CPO Indonesia-Malaysia, minyak goreng sawit, margarin dan sabun Indonesia serta penerimaan devisa ekspor CPO, minyak goreng sawit, margarin, dan sabun Indonesia periode 2015-2017. Artikel ini merupakan bagian dari penelitian tentang penawaran dan permintaan minyak sawit dan produk turunan yang menggunakan model ekonometrika yaitu: sistem persamaan simultan dinamis. Peningkatan harga CPO dunia akan berpengaruh besar terhadap harga ekspor CPO Indonesia ke India. Peningkatan kapasitas produksi industri hilir CPO akan berpengaruh besar terhadap permintaan CPO dan produksi produk turunannya. Untuk meningkatkan daya saing dan nilai penerimaan devisa ekspor produk turunan CPO Indonesia, pada kondisi India atau negara importir utama lainnya meningkatan pajak impor CPO maka pemerintah perlu memfasilitasi peningkatan kapasitas produksi industri hilir CPO dan produksi produk turunan CPO di Indonesia. Kata Kunci: Pajak Impor CPO, Permintaan CPO, Devisa, Ekonometrika, Simulasi Abstract India increased the CPO import tax rate causing Indonesia's CPO exports to fall so that foreign exchange revenues from CPO exports also declined. Indonesia should not continue to depend on these, especially since Indonesia still imports CPO-derived products. Indonesia must continue to develop CPO downstream industries that larger producing added value and foreign exchange revenues. The right government policies are needed to support development the CPO downstreaming industries. This article aims to: (1) analyze the factors affecting Indian CPO imports; Indonesian CPO export prices to India; CPO domestic prices and CPO demand by the palm cooking oil, margarine, and soap industries; and (2) evaluating the impact of an increase in Indian CPO import tax rate and production capacity of CPO downstream industries on the competitiveness of Indonesia-Malaysia CPO exports, Indonesian exports of palm cooking oil, margarine and soap as well as Indonesian foreign exchange revenues in 2015-2017 period. This article is part of a research on the supply and demand of palm oil and its derivatives using the econometric model: dynamic simultaneous equation systems. The increase in world CPO prices will have a major effect on the export price of Indonesian CPO to India. The increase in the production capacity of the CPO downstream industry will have a major impact on the demand for CPO and the production of its derivative products. To increase the competitiveness and the value of foreign exchange earnings from Indonesian exports of CPO derivative products, in conditions of India or other major importing countries to increase CPO import taxes rate, government are needed to facilitate increasing in production capacity of the CPO downstream industry and the production of CPO derivative products in Indonesia. Keywords: CPO Import Taxes, Demand for CPO, Foreign Exchange, Econometric, Simulation
DAMPAK PERUBAHAN KEBIJAKAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN PULP DAN KERTAS INDONESIA Novindra Novindra; Anggriani Oktavia Sitanggang
Jurnal Bisnis Tani Vol 2, No 2 (2016): Jurnal Bisnis Tani Desember 2016
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (134.424 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/jbt.v2i2.527

Abstract

Pulp is one of the main materials in producing paper so that the supply for pulp will influence the paper production quantity. The quantities of pulp and paper productions to fullfill the domestic demand for pulp and paper are not enough. The study objective are: to analyze the factors that influence supply and demand for pulp and paper in Indonesia, and to evaluate the impact of interest rate subsidy for pulp and paper industry investment and the increase of paper's import tariff towards supply and demand for pulp and paper in Indonesia. This research was analysed by using econometric model in term of simultaneous equations that estimated by two-stage least squares method. The model specification of demand and supply for pulp and paper consisting of 16 equations (14 structural equations and 2 identity equations). The results showed that (1) the policy implementation of the interest rate subsidy for pulp and paper industries investment increases the pulp and paper production, and (2) the increase of paper's import tariff will protect the domestic paper industry from the foreign paper production.
ANALISIS SALURAN DAN EFEKTIVITAS PEMASARAN TEMBAKAU DI SUKABUMI, CEPOGO, BOYOLALI Hesti Widyaningsih; Novindra Novindra
Journal of Integrated Agribusiness Vol 4 No 1 (2022): Journal of Integrated Agribusiness
Publisher : Jurusan Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Perikanan dan Biologi Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (344.928 KB) | DOI: 10.33019/jia.v4i1.2967

Abstract

Tobacco is a leading commodity in Cepogo District, especially chopped tobacco in Sukabumi Village. Tobacco farming is interesting in terms of marketing, there are many tobacco traders or middlemen so that the institutions and marketing channels that are traversed by farmers are different. The nature of this tobacco is a fancy product, meaning that farmers do not know the quality of the tobacco produced so that farmers are in an unfavorable bargaining position. Therefore, this study aims to (1) identify marketing channels and marketing functions in each tobacco marketing agency, (2) analyze the efficiency of tobacco marketing channels. The method used in this research is descriptive qualitative analysis, marketing margin analysis, farmer's share, and profit to cost ratio. The results of the study show that the pattern of marketing channel 4 is the most efficient compared to other marketing channels. Marketing channel 4 pattern has a marketing margin of 0 rupiah, a farmer's share of 100 percent, and a profit and cost ratio of 5,98.
Co-Authors -, Nindyantoro - . Nuva Anggriani Oktavia Sitanggang Asti Istiqomah Bernard B. deRosari Bonar M Sinaga Bonar M. Sinaga Bonar Marulitua Sinaga Damayanti, Elok Dea Amanda Eka Intan K.P. Eka Intan Kumala Putri Erwidodo Ferdy Adif I. Fallo Hana Indriana Hastuti Hastuti Hesti Widyaningsih Mintarti Naelis Naelis Pudji Muljono Putri, Eka Intan K. Sri Hartoyo Sri Hartoyo Sri Hartoyo Sulistyowati, Niken Yannefri Bachtiar Zaynal Arifin