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Sarjon Defit
Universitas Putra Indonesia YPTK Padang
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Journal : JURNAL SISTEM INFORMASI BISNIS

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Optimalisasi Parameter dengan Cross Validation dan Neural Back-propagation Pada Model Prediksi Pertumbuhan Industri Mikro dan Kecil Windarto, Agus Perdana; Defit, Sarjon; Wanto, Anjar
JSINBIS (Jurnal Sistem Informasi Bisnis) Vol 11, No 1 (2021): Volume 11 Nomor 1 Tahun 2021
Publisher : Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21456/vol11iss1pp34-42

Abstract

It is important for us to predict what will happen in future and to reduce uncertainty. Various analyzes are therefore necessary in order to optimize or improve the prediction results by several methods. The objective of this research is to analyze predictive results by optimizing the training and testing by means of cross validating parameters on the growth of micro and small-scale production in Indonesia through the exactness of the return-propagative method. The method of reproduction is used. These results are compared with results of backpropagation during training and testing without optimisation of the same architectural model. The dataset is based on the growth in production in micro and small businesses by province from the Central Statistical Agency(BPS). There were 34 records in which data from 2015-2019 for growth of production were collected. The results with optimisation have surpassed without optimisation the back propagation model by looking at RMSE, in which the best RMSE in the 3-2-1 architectural model was obtained and the side type is mixed sampling. The obtained RMSE value is 0.1526, or a difference between the best background architectural model, 3-2-1 and 0.0034. (0.157). The results of this model were 94 percent.
Co-Authors Abdul Azis Said Adek Putri Adi Gunawan Adi Gunawan, Adi Agung Ramadhanu Agus Perdana Windarto Ahmad Zamsuri, Ahmad Am, Andri Nofiar Amran Sitohang Andri Nofiar Angga Putra Juledi Anggrawan, Anthony ardialis Arif Budiman Arif Budiman Arika Juwita Z Asri Hidayad Ayunda, Afifah Trista Bisma Okmarizal Bosker Sinaga Daeng Saputra Perdana Daniel Theodorus Dayla May Cytry Dendi Ferdinal Deno Yulfa Ardian Dhena Marichy Putri Dinda Permata Sukma Dwi Utari Iswavigra Dwiki Aulia Fakhri Efendi, Muhamad Efrizoni, Lusiana Eka Praja Wiyata Mandala Elda, Yusma eriwandi Fadlul Hamdi Faisal Roza Fanny Septiani Bufra Fauzan Azim Fauzi Erwis Febri Aldi Febri Hadi Febrina, Yerri Kurnia Fitriani, Yetti Fristi Riandari Fristi Riandari Fuad El Khair Gunadi Nurcahyo Gunadi Widi Nurcahyo Habdi Habdi Halifia Hendri Handika, Yola Tri Haris Kurniawan Hasmaynelis Fitri Hendro Budiantoro Hengki Juliansa Henky Andema Hermanto Hidayad, Asri Indah Savitri Hidayat Ira Nia Sanita Ismail Virgo Jefdy Kurniawan Jeri Wandana Juansen, Monsya Juledi, Angga Putra Khairul Azmi Kurniawan, Jefdy L. J. Muhammad Larissa Navia Rani Leoni Lidya M Syahputra M. Ibnu Pati Mardayatmi, Suci Mardison Mardison Mardison Meilinda Sari Meilinda Sari Melissa Triandini Mhd Hary Kurniawan Miftahul Hasanah Miftahul Hasanah, Miftahul Mike Zaimy Monsya Juansen MUHAMMAD TAJUDDIN Nadya Alinda Rahmi Nandel Syofneri Nanik Istianingsih Nopi Purnomo Nori Sahrun, Nori Novi Yanti Nurcahyo, Gunadi Widi Nurdin, Yogi K Nurhidayat Pati, Muhammad Ibnu Putra, Rahman Arief Putri, Adek R Rahmiyanti Rafika Sani Rafiska, Rian Rahmad Aditiya Rahman Arief Putra Ramadhan, Mukhlis Ramdani Bayu Putra Rezki - Rezki Rusydi Rian Kurniawan Rianti, Eva Rio Andika Malik Ritna Wahyuni Riyan Ikhbal Salam Rizki Mubarak Rusdianto Roestam S Sumijan Salam, Riyan Ikhbal Sandrawira Anggraini Sandy Mulyanda Setiawan, Adil Shahab Wahhab Kareem Sharon Shaza Alturky Sirait, Weri Sitanggang, Sahat Sonang Slamet Riyadi Sofika Enggari Sri Dewi Sri Dewi Suci Mardayatmi Suhefi Oktarian Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan Sumijan, S Surya Dwi Putra Susandri, Susandri Susriyanti, Susriyanti Syafri Arlis Syahputra, M Syaljumairi, Raemon Virgo, Ismail Vivi Suryani Wahyuni, Ritna Wanto, Anjar Wenni Afrodita Weri Sirait Y Yuhandri Yerri Kurnia Febrina Yetti Fitriani Yogi K. Nurdin Yoni Aswan Yuhandri Yuhandri Yuhandri Yuhandri, Yuhandri Yuli Hartati Yunus, Yuhandri Yusma Elda Zulvitri, Z Zurni Mardian