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All Journal Jurnal Didaktik Matematika Kontinu: Jurnal Penelitian Didaktik Matematika AKSIOMA JURNAL PENDIDIKAN MATEMATIKA Jurnal Daya Matematis JIPM (Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika) Jurnal Edukasi Matematika dan Sains Jurnal Gantang Al-Jabar : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) PENDIPA Journal of Science Education Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Raflesia JURNAL EKSAKTA PENDIDIKAN (JEP) Jurnal Cendekia : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Basicedu JUMLAHKU: Jurnal Matematika Ilmiah STKIP Muhammadiyah Kuningan JPM : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika FIBONACCI: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika ANARGYA: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika KOLOKIUM: Jurnal Pendidikan Luar Sekolah Pelita Eksakta Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika (JMP) Journal On Teacher Education (Jote) Mosharafa: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Journal of Social Research Journal of Mathematics UNP Ranah Research : Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Development JNPM (Jurnal Nasional Pendidikan Matematika) Jurnal Edukasi dan Penelitian Matematika
Yerizon Yerizon
Universitas Negeri Padang
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Physics Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Journal of Mathematics UNP

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Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain dalam Meramalkan Nilai Tukar Mata Uang (Kurs) Antara Ringgit Malaysia dengan Rupiah Poppy Mangkunegara; Yerizon Yerizon
Journal of Mathematics UNP Vol 5, No 4 (2020): Journal Of Mathematics UNP
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS NEGERI PADANG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (690.232 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/unpjomath.v5i4.11103

Abstract

Abstract— Currency exchange rates (exchange rates) can affect the economic stability of a country. Each country conducts international relations, one of which is Indonesia and Malaysia, namely Indonesia's export activities to Malaysia. This study aims to determine the accuracy rate of forecasting with MAPE and to determine the exchange rate (exchange rate) in the next period using the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain. This research is applied research with secondary data taken from the official website of Bank Indonesia. By converting the exchange rate data into linguistic values and then transferring it to a fuzzy logic group to determine the markov chain transition matrix, the forecast results can be obtained. The results of processing exchange rate data using the Fuzzy Time Series Markov Chain method obtained prediction accuracy reaching 96.78% of the actual data with a MAPE value of 3.22% and the forecast results on May 4 2020 amounting to IDR 3,468. Keywords—currency exchangerate, forecasting, markov chain fuzzy time series method.
Co-Authors Afifah Zafirah Ahmad Fauzan Ali Asmar Andi Suparjo Anna Cesaria Apdyan Dwi Hendrajah Armiati Armiati Armiati Yerizon Arnellis Arnellis Astari Asrar Atus Amadi Putra Benti Yulius Daharnis Daharnis Dala Zulyani Debby Marinda Desyandri Desyandri Dony Permana Edwin Musdi Elita Zusti Jamaan Emi Suryani Putri Fadhilah Haswenova Farhani Farhani Fauziah Putri Putri Febby Fauzila Putri Fitri Andriani Fitria, Yanti Fridgo Tasman Hafizah Delyana, Hafizah Helma Helma Hendra Syarifuddin I Made Arnawa I Made Arnawa Ihksan Apria Suske Ilhami Afniati Irwan Irwan Kurnia Puspita Sari Laksono Trisnantoro Lialy Sarti Lusiana Lusiana Melisa Melisa Metamya Aisy Ginting Nadia Alkhaira Nelda Rahma Lisa Putri Neviyarni Neviyarni Nidya Oktadila Nofri Leni Nor’ain Mohd Tajudin Nurhizrah Gistituati Nurlaili Nurlaili Nurul Maulina Khairunnisa Poppy Mangkunegara Ramadoni Rendi Hidayat Rendy Novri Yolanda Ridha Fajria Ririn Eviyanti Rizza Yustianingsih Septia Nurvitasari Siltima Wiska Silvia Fitriani Silvia Rahayu Suherman Suherman Syafni Gustina Sari Syafni Gustina Sari Syafriandi Syafriandi Tita Purnama Sari Widya Novita Sari Yenni Rozimela Yulia Utami Putri Yusri Wahyuni Zul Futria Wati