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All Journal International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS) Jurnal Pendidikan Akuntansi Indonesia Media Elektrik Lentera Pendidikan Assets : Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Equilibrium JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) Jurnal Pendidikan dan Konseling Klasikal: Journal of Education, Language Teaching and Science Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Peradaban Jurnal Teknik Informatika (JUTIF) Mattawang: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat EduLine: Journal of Education and Learning Innovation Jurnal Iqtisaduna Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Formosa (JPMF) Chemistry Education Review Jurnal Ilmiah Edutic : Pendidikan dan Informatika Teknovokasi : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Pendidikan Terapan Vokatek : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Information Technology Education Journal Journal of Embedded Systems, Security and Intelligent Systems Jurnal Kemitraan Responsif untuk Aksi Inovatif dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Journal of Deep Learning, Computer Vision and Digital Image Processing Jurnal Sipakatau: Inovasi Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal MediaTIK
M. Miftach Fakhri
Universitas Negeri Makassar
Religion Humanities Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Library & Information Science Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS)

 1 
The accuracy of forecasting results of the Box-Jenkins method for time series analysis on the number of pneumonia patients Sitti Radhiah; Muhammad Miftach Fakhri; Muhammad Ibrahim; Rosidah Rosidah; Della Fadhilatunisa; Fitria Arifiyanti; Soeharto Soeharto; Vidiyanto Vidiyanto
International Journal of Public Health Science (IJPHS) Vol 12, No 4: December 2023
Publisher : Intelektual Pustaka Media Utama

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijphs.v12i4.22961

Abstract

This study was quantitative with a non-reactive or unobstructed approach using Time Series analysis with the ARIMA Box-Jenkins method on secondary data. From secondary data, 1, 3, and 6 monthly data simulations were carried out. Each simulation data was divided into two groups: the first group of initialization data for 2016 – 2019 and the second group of actual data for 2020. The aim of this study was to determine the accuracy of forecasting results using the Box- Jenkins method on the number of pneumonia sufferers at Kamonji Public Health Center, Palu. The 1-monthly data simulation amounted to 48-time series as initialization data, obtained the appropriate forecasting model, namely ARIMA (1,1,1), then forecasting was done, and the results obtained were 289,166 patients with pneumonia. There are 16-time series simulations for 3-monthly data as initialization data and 6-monthly simulations totaling two-time series for initialization data, not finding a suitable model for forecasting. In conclusion, no data simulation gets the right result on the number of pneumonia sufferers because it gets more forecasting results than the actual data. Suggestions that can be given in this research are to use data that is more than five years old.
Co-Authors Aditya Alamsyah Syarif Ahmad Fadhil Imran Ahmar, Ansari Saleh Ainun Zahra Adistia Akhmad Affandi Akmal Hidayat Amiruddin Amiruddin Amri Rahman Ana Sulistiana Alwi Ananta Dwi Prayoga Alwy Andi Akram Nur Risal Andi Baso Kaswar Andi Baso Kaswar Andi Nailah Quin Azisah Alisyahbana Andika Isma Andika Isma Anwar Wahid Aprisal, Aprisal Asis Nojeng Asri Ismail Asriadi Awaliah Fitri Nur Ananda Bukhari Naufal Nur Ag Dary Mochamad Rifqie Della Fadhilatunisa Della Fadhilatunisa Della Fadhilatunisa Dewi Fatmarani Surianto Dewi Fatmarani Surianto Dewi Fatmarani Surianto Dwi Rezky Anandari Dyah Darma Andayani Ery Sugito Fadhil Zil Ikram Fadhilarahman Baso Faisal Faisal Faizal Arya Samman Fajriani Azis Farid Fajrin Fathahillah Fathahillah Fitria Arifiyanti Fitriyanty Dwi Lestary Fizar Syafaat Harisma Dita Ansyar Hartono Hendra Jaya Ika Wahyu Pratiwi Ilma Wulansari Hasdiansa Indah Febriyani Asril Irwansyah Suwahyu Jumadil Ahmad Safii Jumadil Ahmad Safi’i Kelvianto Pratama Harum Kurnia Prima Putra Lu'mu M. Al Ihlas M. Syahid Nur Wahid Marhawati Muh Akbar B Muh Bhilal Halim Muh Juharman Muh. Alham Satnur Muh. Alif Muh. Bhilal Halim Muh. Dadang Hawari Muh. Sunan Jaya Irmawan Muhammad Agung Muhammad Akbar Amir Muhammad Alif Leo Muhammad Fajar B Muhammad Fajar B Muhammad Fardan Muhammad Haristo Rahman Muhammad Ibrahim Muhammad Rakib Muhammad Yahya Namla Elfa Syariati Nur Azizah Ayu Safanah Nur Qirani Ridhaihi Nur Rahmah Sari Nurdin Nurikhlas Nurpa Gunawan Nuril Huda Nursyam Anaguna Putri Nanda Sari Radha Hasda Halfis Radhiah Raodahtul Jannah Rezki Angriani Pratiwi Kadir Rifqa Awalia Roby Aditya Rosidah Rosidah Rosidah Rosidah Rosidah Sabran Saharuddin Sanatang, sanatang Sapto Haryoko Setialaksana, Wirawan - Sitti Hasbiah Sitti Muthmainnah Sitti Radhiah Soeharto Soeharto Suhartono Suhartono Trisakti Akbar Vidiyanto Vidiyanto Wahyu Hidayat Wahyu Hidayat M Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudi Wulan Purnamasari Wulan Purnamasari S Wulandari Yasser Abd. Djawad Yuanita B Yuanita B