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Muhammad Taufiq
University Pembangunan Panca Budi Medan
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Journal : Jurnal ULTIMATICS

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Peramalan Utilisasi Perangkat Jaringan dan Bandwidth Dengan Metode Holt-Winters dan Multi Layer Perceptron Muhammad Taufiq; Dedy Sugiarto; Abdul Rochman
Ultimatics : Jurnal Teknik Informatika Vol 12 No 1 (2020): Ultimatics : Jurnal Teknik Informatika
Publisher : Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, Universitas Multimedia Nusantara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1059.464 KB) | DOI: 10.31937/ti.v12i1.1575

Abstract

Network devices become an important medium for transferring data from one node to another node in the form of switches, routers or network security devices. The reliability of network devices must be maintained both in terms of device resources and bandwidth. The study was conducted by applying the Holt-Winters and Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) method to network device and bandwidth data utilization. The two methods are compared to assess which accuracy is better when applied to network device and bandwidth utilization data by calculating Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage (MAPE). The results of the measurement of accuracy in the network device testing data, MLP produces a value of RMSE of 5,67 and MAPE of ​​2.34, and Holt-Winters produces a value of RMSE of ​​14.56 and MAPE of 2.95. For the results of the measurement of accuracy in the bandwidth testing data with MLP produces a value of RMSE of ​​0.13 and MAPE of ​​ 7.27, and Holt-Winters produces RMSE values of ​​2.59 and MAPE of 134.31. Based on the results of these measurements it is concluded that the MLP method has a smaller error value compared to the Holt-Winters method applied to network device and bandwidth utilization data with a span of 3 years historical data.
Co-Authors Abdul Halik Abdul Halim Abdul Rahman Abdul Rochman Abdul Wahab Abrani Sulaiman Achmad Albar Permana Suprianto Aji Nur Said, A.Md. Akhmad Sabarudin Al Hadiat Al Hadiat Andi Khaeruni Andy Hendri, Andy Ane Novianty Ani Mulyasuryani Argubi, Adi Hidayat Arif Hadi Sumitro Asmar Hasan Asniah Asniah Asritanarni Munar Bahrin Bahrin Bahrul Anif Dafni Mawar Tarigan Darma Aviva Dartius , Daru Sugati Dedy Sugiarto Desi Ardilla Desrial Dian Indra Sari Endang Purwati RN Endang Supraptiah Erna Krisnawati Etty Gurendrawati Fadarina HC GUSNAWATY HS, GUSNAWATY Habibah Habibah Halimatus Sakdiyah Hendri Hermawan Adinugraha hendriko hendriko Hidayat Hidayat Hijria Hijria Ir. Pranto Busono Irma KRESNAWATY Khaerunnisa Khaerunnisa Kikin H Mutaqin Kiswanto Kiswanto Kosim Kosim La Ode Santiaji Bande Lalu Rudyat Telly Savalas Liana Liana Luky Adrianto Made Rahmawaty, Made MARIADI MARIADI Mariany Razali Miftahul Khair Mohammad Ihsan Mokhamad Nur Cahyadi, Mokhamad Nur Muhammad Botek Niken Nur Kasim NOOR AIDAWATI Oktalia Triananda Lovita PURNAMA HIDAYAT PUTRI MEGAYANTI PADDA Rachmad Harri Mulia Rahayu M Rahayu M Rahayu Mallarangeng Ratu Fatimah Azzahrah Rid Wanto Rida Prihatni Riko Setya Wijaya Rinaldi Rinaldi Royadi Royadi Ruli Inayah Ramadhoan S.M. Sitompul Salsabilla Choirun Nisa’Alfikry Santosa Pujiarta, A.Md SEDYO HARTONO Siti Rahmah Cibro SRI HENDRASTUTI HIDAYAT Susilawati - Syair Syair Tauhid, Tauhid Thoufiq Ridhowan Thoufiq Tineke Mandang Tirta Suci Dian Kasih Tri Pamujiasih Trisna Insan Noor Ussy Andawayanti Wahyu Kurniawan Wahyudi Wahyudi Wahyudianto, Febri Eko Wardi Wardi Wawan Hermawan Widodo Yuyut Suraniyanto Zurohainah